Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 29/08, 10:00

Prediction: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Brisbane City (W)

Team pages: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) · Brisbane City (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)1.45

Brisbane City (W)1.2

1X2

42% 27% 30%

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Draw Brisbane City (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Brisbane City (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWLLLD

Head-to-head

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 2–3–1 Brisbane City (W) (6 last)

Brisbane City (W)1-0Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)0-0Brisbane City (W)
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)4-2Brisbane City (W)
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)1-1Brisbane City (W)
Brisbane City (W)0-0Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)2-1Brisbane City (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1559 · Brisbane City (W) 1495

	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	Draw	Brisbane City (W)
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) (rating 1559 vs 1495).
H2H favours Eastern Suburbs NPL (W): 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	Brisbane City (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.5	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	2.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.4 / 0	0.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.10 → 2.90▼	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:48 +26’	2.00	3.40	3.10
03:51 +6’	2.10▲	3.40	2.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 2–3–1 Brisbane City (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Brisbane City (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
20/06/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Brisbane City (W)
21/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	4-2 HT 1-1	Brisbane City (W)
06/09/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Brisbane City (W)
02/09/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Brisbane City (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
26/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Brisbane City (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women · Queensland NPL, Women 2026

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gold Coast Knights (W)	27	19	4	4	74	21	61
2	Lions FC (W)	27	18	4	5	71	24	58
3	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	27	18	4	5	64	20	58
4	Brisbane City (W)	27	14	8	5	57	22	50
5	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	27	11	8	8	40	34	41
6	Gold Coast United (W)	27	9	10	8	40	37	37
7	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	27	9	2	16	34	43	29
8	Capalaba (W)	27	8	2	17	35	61	26
9	FQ QAS Women	27	7	1	19	48	84	22
10	Souths United NPL (W)	27	0	1	26	15	132	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	Brisbane City (W)
Souths United NPL (W)	14-0 W	6-0 W
Gold Coast Knights (W)	2-0 W	0-2 L
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
FQ QAS Women	3-0 W	2-3 L
Capalaba (W)	5-0 W	0-1 L
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	0-1 L	3-0 W
Lions FC (W)	1-3 L	0-1 L
Gold Coast United (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	6-0	14-0	11	0	W
07/08	Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-0	2-0	0	0	W
01/08	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	2-0	1	0	W
25/07	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
19/07	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	3-0	5-0	4	0	W
14/07	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-1	9	0	L
11/07	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-3	4	2	L
05/07	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
30/06	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-0	7	0	D
20/06	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D

Brisbane City (W)

WWWDLWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
07/08	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-1	2-3	9	0	L
04/08	Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
01/08	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
24/07	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
18/07	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
14/07	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-1	7	0	D
11/07	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
05/07	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-0	3	0	W
30/06	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	6-0	11	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Brisbane City (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 42%, draw 27%, Brisbane City (W) 30%.

How many goals are expected in Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Brisbane City (W)?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1.45 · Brisbane City (W) 1.2), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Brisbane City (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.