Football · Argentina Nacional B · 27/08, 02:00
Prediction: Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron
Team pages: Central Norte · Deportivo Moron
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Central Norte1.18
Deportivo Moron1.11
1X2
Central Norte
Draw
Deportivo Moron
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Central Norte
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Moron
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Norte
0–1–2
Deportivo Moron
(3 last)
- Deportivo Moron2-0Central Norte
- Central Norte0-0Deportivo Moron
- Deportivo Moron2-0Central Norte
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Norte 1449 · Deportivo Moron 1569
| Central Norte | Draw | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Market | 35% | 33% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Moron (rating 1449 vs 1569).
- H2H favours Deportivo Moron: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Norte | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 6.4 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Norte 0–1–2 Deportivo Moron
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Central Norte |
| 22/06/25 Argentina Nacional B | Central Norte | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 16/02/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Central Norte |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Colon | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 40 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 40 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 35 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 15 | 33 |
| 10 | Racing de Cordoba | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 29 | 32 |
| 11 | CA San Miguel | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 29 |
| 12 | Club Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 27 |
| 15 | Defensores de Belgrano | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 26 |
| 16 | CA Chaco For Ever | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 29 | 25 |
| 17 | CA San Telmo | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 24 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Norte | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| All Boys | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| CA San Telmo | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Acassuso | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Racing de Cordoba | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Norte
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 24/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Deportivo Moron
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
3-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 13/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 19/05 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 03/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 26/04 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Norte win (35%). Probabilities: Central Norte 35%, draw 32%, Deportivo Moron 32%.
How many goals are expected in Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Central Norte 1.18 · Deportivo Moron 1.11), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.