Football · Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League · 16/08, 12:00
Prediction: Lucan United vs Wayside Celtic
Team pages: Lucan United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.03Total
Lucan United2.04
Wayside Celtic2
1X2
Lucan United
Draw
Wayside Celtic
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucan United
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Wayside Celtic
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lucan United
2–3–1
Wayside Celtic
(6 last)
- Wayside Celtic1-1Lucan United
- Lucan United4-1Wayside Celtic
- Lucan United1-1Wayside Celtic
- Wayside Celtic1-1Lucan United
- Lucan United1-2Wayside Celtic
- Wayside Celtic0-1Lucan United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucan United 1487 · Wayside Celtic 1475
| Lucan United | Draw | Wayside Celtic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 22% | 38% |
| Market | 39% | 24% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lucan United: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lucan United | Wayside Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.2 | 2.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.6 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.7 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucan United 2–3–1 Wayside Celtic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Wayside Celtic | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lucan United |
| 26/08/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Lucan United | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Wayside Celtic |
| 18/02/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Lucan United | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Wayside Celtic |
| 11/12/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Wayside Celtic | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Lucan United |
| 28/05/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Lucan United | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Wayside Celtic |
| 27/10/23 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Wayside Celtic | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lucan United |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lucan United | Wayside Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Tolka Rovers | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| St Francis FC | 2-4 L | 6-1 W |
| Kilbarrack Utd | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Usher Celtic | 6-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Killester Donnycarney FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Wayside Celtic (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucan United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/06 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | St Francis FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 28/05 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 21/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
4-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | UCC Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/04 | Montpelier FC Republic of Ireland FAI Intermediate Cup |
0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
Wayside Celtic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland FAI Intermediate Cup |
2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Ballymun United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | St Francis FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 27/03 | Liffey Wanderers Republic of Ireland FAI Intermediate Cup |
3-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/03 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucan United vs Wayside Celtic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lucan United win (39%). Probabilities: Lucan United 39%, draw 23%, Wayside Celtic 38%.
How many goals are expected in Lucan United vs Wayside Celtic?
The model expects 4.03 goals (Lucan United 2.04 · Wayside Celtic 2), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lucan United vs Wayside Celtic?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.