Football · Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League · 16/08, 13:00
Prediction: St Mochtas vs Malahide Utd
Team pages: St Mochtas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
St Mochtas1.23
Malahide Utd1.76
1X2
St Mochtas
Draw
Malahide Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
St Mochtas
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Malahide Utd
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Mochtas
3–3
Malahide Utd
(6 last)
- St Mochtas0-1Malahide Utd
- Malahide Utd2-0St Mochtas
- St Mochtas1-0Malahide Utd
- St Mochtas1-2Malahide Utd
- Malahide Utd2-3St Mochtas
- St Mochtas1-0Malahide Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St Mochtas 1535 · Malahide Utd 1598
| St Mochtas | Draw | Malahide Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 27% | 22% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malahide Utd (rating 1535 vs 1598).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Mochtas | Malahide Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Mochtas 3–0–3 Malahide Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Mochtas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Malahide Utd |
| 14/04/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Malahide Utd | 2-0 HT 2-0 | St Mochtas |
| 27/02/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Mochtas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Malahide Utd |
| 21/03/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Mochtas | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Malahide Utd |
| 13/09/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Malahide Utd | 2-3 HT 1-1 | St Mochtas |
| 01/05/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Mochtas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Malahide Utd |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Mochtas | Malahide Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Finglas United | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Killester Donnycarney FC | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Bangor Celtic FC | 6-5 W | 1-2 L |
| Tolka Rovers | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Usher Celtic | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Ballymun United | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Malahide Utd (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Mochtas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 03/06 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Bangor Celtic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-4 | 6-5 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/05 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland FAI Intermediate Cup |
3-2 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Ballymun United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Malahide Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/06 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/04 | St Francis FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Bangor Celtic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/04 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Ballymun United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Mochtas vs Malahide Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Malahide Utd win (50%). Probabilities: St Mochtas 27%, draw 23%, Malahide Utd 50%.
How many goals are expected in St Mochtas vs Malahide Utd?
The model expects 2.99 goals (St Mochtas 1.23 · Malahide Utd 1.76), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in St Mochtas vs Malahide Utd?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.