Football · Czechia First League · 02/09, 20:00

Prediction: Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec

Team pages: Bohemians 1905 · FK Jablonec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Bohemians 19051.24

FK Jablonec1.19

1X2

37% 29% 34%

Bohemians 1905 Draw FK Jablonec

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Bohemians 1905 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLDWD

FK Jablonec 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Bohemians 1905 2–1–3 FK Jablonec (6 last)

FK Jablonec1-0Bohemians 1905
Bohemians 19050-1FK Jablonec
FK Jablonec0-1Bohemians 1905
Bohemians 19051-2FK Jablonec
Bohemians 19051-1FK Jablonec
Bohemians 19052-0FK Jablonec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bohemians 1905 1562 · FK Jablonec 1554

	Bohemians 1905	Draw	FK Jablonec
Our model	36%	30%	34%
Market	37%	28%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Jablonec: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bohemians 1905	FK Jablonec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.20

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:58 +1’	2.45	3.20	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bohemians 1905 2–1–3 FK Jablonec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Czechia First League	FK Jablonec	1-0 HT 1-0	Bohemians 1905
10/08/25 Czechia First League	Bohemians 1905	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Jablonec
02/02/25 Czechia First League	FK Jablonec	0-1 HT 0-0	Bohemians 1905
24/08/24 Czechia First League	Bohemians 1905	1-2 HT 1-1	FK Jablonec
12/05/24 Czechia First League	Bohemians 1905	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Jablonec
30/03/24 Czechia First League	Bohemians 1905	2-0 HT 2-0	FK Jablonec

Standings · Czechia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	5	3	2	0	14	5	11
2	Mlada Boleslav	5	3	2	0	11	6	11
3	Slovan Liberec	5	3	1	1	6	3	10
4	Sigma Olomouc	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
5	FC Brno	5	3	1	1	9	5	10
6	Sparta Prague	5	3	0	2	12	7	9
7	FK Jablonec	3	3	0	0	5	1	9
8	Banik Ostrava	5	3	0	2	4	6	9
9	Hradec Kralove	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
10	FK Teplice	5	2	1	2	10	12	7
11	Bohemians 1905	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
12	Viktoria Plzen	4	1	2	1	10	11	5
13	SK Artis Brno	6	1	1	4	6	13	4
14	Pardubice	6	0	1	5	5	12	1
15	Slovacko	5	0	1	4	4	11	1
16	FC Trinity Zlin	6	0	0	6	5	13	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bohemians 1905	FK Jablonec
Slavia Prague	2-2 D	1-5 L
Hradec Kralove	0-0 D	1-1 D
Sigma Olomouc	2-0 W	2-1 W
Sparta Prague	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bohemians 1905 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bohemians 1905

LWWWLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	1-1	2-2	1	4	D
08/08	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
02/08	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
25/07	FK Teplice Czechia First League	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
10/05	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
02/05	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	0-1	1-3	6	1	L
25/04	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
18/04	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
11/04	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-1	2-1	10	5	W
05/04	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	4	4	L

FK Jablonec

LLLDLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Slovacko Czechia First League	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
02/08	Pardubice Czechia First League	2-0	2-0	0	2	W
26/07	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	0-1	2-1	10	3	W
24/05	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
17/05	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	0-4	0-5	4	2	L
13/05	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	0-3	1-5	5	3	L
10/05	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
03/05	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
25/04	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
18/04	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	1-2	1-3	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bohemians 1905 win (37%). Probabilities: Bohemians 1905 37%, draw 29%, FK Jablonec 34%.

How many goals are expected in Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Bohemians 1905 1.24 · FK Jablonec 1.19), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.