Prediction: Energetik Mingechevir vs Simal FK
Team pages: Energetik Mingechevir · Simal FK
- Simal FK0-3Energetik Mingechevir
- Simal FK0-3Energetik Mingechevir
- Energetik Mingechevir3-1Simal FK
| Energetik Mingechevir | Draw | Simal FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 24% | 43% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Energetik Mingechevir (rating 1494 vs 1444).
- H2H favours Energetik Mingechevir: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Energetik Mingechevir | Simal FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.4 | 3.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Energetik Mingechevir 3–0–0 Simal FK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/26 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Simal FK | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Energetik Mingechevir |
| 07/02/26 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Simal FK | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Energetik Mingechevir |
| 16/10/25 Azerbaijan Division 1 | Energetik Mingechevir | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Simal FK |
Standings · Azerbaijan Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Sahdag Qusar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Ganjabasar FK | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Sabail FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | FK Karvan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Moik Baku | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Zaqatala | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Khankendi FK | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 8 | Simal FK | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 9 | Energetik Mingechevir | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sporting FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Energetik Mingechevir | Simal FK |
|---|---|---|
| Moik Baku | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Ganjabasar FK | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Sabail FC | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| FK Sahdag Qusar | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Difai FK | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Energetik Mingechevir (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Energetik Mingechevir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Moik Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/09 | Ganjabasar FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 10/09 | Sabail FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Zaqatala Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 22/05 | Sabail FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Moik Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | FK Sahdag Qusar Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 9 | L |
| 29/04 | Zaqatala Azerbaijan Division 1 |
2-0 | 7-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Ganjabasar FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/04 | Difai FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Simal FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Khankendi FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 17/09 | FK Sahdag Qusar Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Moik Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | Cebrayil FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Ganjabasar FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | Difai FK Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Moik Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/04 | Safa Baku Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 23/04 | Baku Sporting FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/04 | Sabail FC Azerbaijan Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Energetik Mingechevir vs Simal FK?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Simal FK win (43%). Probabilities: Energetik Mingechevir 32%, draw 25%, Simal FK 43%.
How many goals are expected in Energetik Mingechevir vs Simal FK?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Energetik Mingechevir 1.56 · Simal FK 1.83), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Energetik Mingechevir vs Simal FK?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.