Football · Spain Tercera Group 3 · 10/10, 18:00

Prediction: Vimenor vs Laredo

Team pages: Laredo

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Vimenor0.94

Laredo1.32

1X2

26% 29% 45%

Vimenor Draw Laredo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Vimenor 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWWWDL

Laredo 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDDLWWWW

Head-to-head

Vimenor 2–2–2 Laredo (6 last)

Laredo2-1Vimenor
Vimenor1-0Laredo
Laredo1-1Vimenor
Vimenor0-1Laredo
Laredo0-0Vimenor
Vimenor1-0Laredo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vimenor 1501 · Laredo 1543

	Vimenor	Draw	Laredo
Our model	25%	31%	44%
Market	27%	27%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laredo (rating 1501 vs 1543).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vimenor	Laredo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	– / –	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	//%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	2.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.30

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.37
X	3.20 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
2	2.25 → 1.95▼	Pinn 2.22 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:31 +25’	2.80	3.20	2.25
23:22 +4’	4.20▲	3.50▲	1.70▼
05:43 +21’	3.30▼	3.30▼	1.95▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:21 +5’	3.45	2.79	2.19
23:35 +133’	3.37▼	2.80▲	2.22▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vimenor 2–2–2 Laredo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 3	Laredo	2-1 HT 1-0	Vimenor
12/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 3	Vimenor	1-0 HT 0-0	Laredo
25/05/24 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs	Laredo	1-1 HT 1-1	Vimenor
19/05/24 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs	Vimenor	0-1 HT 0-1	Laredo
29/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 3	Laredo	0-0 HT 0-0	Vimenor
12/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 3	Vimenor	1-0 HT 1-0	Laredo

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tropezon	5	5	0	0	11	2	15
2	CD Bezana	5	5	0	0	11	3	15
3	Laredo	5	4	0	1	12	2	12
4	Vimenor	5	3	1	1	7	3	10
5	CD Cayon	5	3	1	1	5	2	10
6	SD Torina	5	2	3	0	8	2	9
7	UD Samano	5	2	2	1	12	6	8
8	SD Revilla	5	2	2	1	10	6	8
9	Selaya	5	2	1	2	5	7	7
10	CD Atletico Mineros	5	2	0	3	4	11	6
11	Castro	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
12	Escobedo	5	1	2	2	3	7	5
13	CD Guarnizo	5	1	1	3	6	9	4
14	Solares	5	1	1	3	3	6	4
15	Velarde	5	1	1	3	3	8	4
16	At. Albericia	5	0	1	4	3	9	1
17	Naval	5	0	1	4	4	13	1
18	CD Barquereno	5	0	1	4	2	11	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vimenor	Laredo
Escobedo	0-2 L	2-0 W
At. Albericia	2-2 D	2-0 W
Tropezon	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Laredo (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vimenor

LDLWLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	CD Bezana Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	SD Torina Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	Velarde Spain Tercera Group 3	–	4-1	–	–	W
13/09	UD Samano Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	CD Cayon Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-0	–	–	W
09/05	CD Cayon Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/05	Montanas del Pas Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-0	–	–	W
26/04	Escobedo Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/04	At. Albericia Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/04	Tropezon Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-3	–	–	L

Laredo

WDWDDLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	CD Barquereno Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	Naval Spain Tercera Group 3	–	4-0	–	–	W
20/09	Escobedo Spain Tercera Group 3	2-0	2-0	11	7	W
12/09	At. Albericia Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	Tropezon Spain Tercera Group 3	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
31/05	Tropezon Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-0	–	–	D
17/05	Escobedo Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
09/05	CD Colindres Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Selaya Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	At. Albericia Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vimenor vs Laredo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Laredo win (45%). Probabilities: Vimenor 26%, draw 29%, Laredo 45%.

How many goals are expected in Vimenor vs Laredo?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Vimenor 0.94 · Laredo 1.32), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vimenor vs Laredo?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.