Football · Spain Tercera Group 3 · 25/10, 12:00

Prediction: CD Cayon vs Laredo

Team pages: CD Cayon · Laredo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

CD Cayon0.97

Laredo1.16

1X2

30% 30% 40%

CD Cayon Draw Laredo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Cayon 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWDWDW

Laredo 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

CD Cayon 2–2–2 Laredo (6 last)

CD Cayon0-2Laredo
Laredo0-2CD Cayon
Laredo1-0CD Cayon
CD Cayon1-0Laredo
CD Cayon1-1Laredo
Laredo0-0CD Cayon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Cayon 1568 · Laredo 1567

	CD Cayon	Draw	Laredo
Our model	29%	32%	39%
Market	31%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Cayon	Laredo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 8	2.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0	5.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.20

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 05:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 2.90▼	Pinn 3.00
X	3.30 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20
2	2.05 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.29 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:38 +10’	3.10	3.30	2.05
00:07 +5’	3.40▲	3.40▲	1.95▼
05:04 +4’	2.90▼	3.20▼	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:50 +238’	3.00	3.00	2.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cayon 2–2–2 Laredo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 3	CD Cayon	0-2 HT 0-1	Laredo
01/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 3	Laredo	0-2 HT 0-1	CD Cayon
08/05/22 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	Laredo	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Cayon
19/12/21 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	CD Cayon	1-0 HT 0-0	Laredo
26/01/20 Spain Tercera Group 3	CD Cayon	1-1 HT 0-1	Laredo
07/09/19 Spain Tercera Group 3	Laredo	0-0	CD Cayon

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tropezon	7	6	1	0	13	3	19
2	Laredo	7	6	0	1	18	4	18
3	CD Bezana	7	5	1	1	12	6	16
4	SD Revilla	7	4	2	1	16	10	14
5	CD Cayon	7	4	2	1	7	2	14
6	Vimenor	7	4	1	2	9	6	13
7	UD Samano	7	3	3	1	15	7	12
8	SD Torina	7	2	5	0	9	3	11
9	CD Atletico Mineros	7	3	0	4	9	15	9
10	Castro	7	2	2	3	9	10	8
11	Selaya	7	2	1	4	6	10	7
12	Solares	7	1	3	3	7	10	6
13	At. Albericia	7	1	2	4	7	11	5
14	CD Guarnizo	7	1	2	4	9	14	5
15	CD Barquereno	7	1	2	4	5	13	5
15	Escobedo	7	1	2	4	5	13	5
17	Velarde	7	1	1	5	5	14	4
18	Naval	7	0	2	5	8	18	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Cayon	Laredo
CD Guarnizo	1-0 W	4-2 W
Vimenor	0-1 L	2-0 W
Tropezon	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Laredo (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Cayon

WLWLWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	CD Bezana Spain Tercera Group 3	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
11/10	SD Torina Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	0-0	13	4	D
03/10	Velarde Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	UD Samano Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	CD Atletico Mineros Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	CD Guarnizo Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Vimenor Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-1	–	–	L
09/05	Vimenor Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-1	–	–	W
03/05	Tropezon Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-3	–	–	L
26/04	UC Cartes Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-2	–	–	W

Laredo

WDDLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	CD Guarnizo Spain Tercera Group 3	1-2	4-2	6	7	W
10/10	Vimenor Spain Tercera Group 3	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
03/10	CD Barquereno Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	Naval Spain Tercera Group 3	–	4-0	–	–	W
20/09	Escobedo Spain Tercera Group 3	2-0	2-0	11	7	W
12/09	At. Albericia Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	Tropezon Spain Tercera Group 3	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
31/05	Tropezon Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-0	–	–	D
17/05	Escobedo Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
09/05	CD Colindres Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cayon vs Laredo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Laredo win (40%). Probabilities: CD Cayon 30%, draw 30%, Laredo 40%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cayon vs Laredo?

The model expects 2.13 goals (CD Cayon 0.97 · Laredo 1.16), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cayon vs Laredo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.