Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 10/10, 15:00
Prediction: Cosenza U19 vs Catanzaro U19
Team pages: Cosenza U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Cosenza U191.15
Catanzaro U192.15
1X2
Cosenza U19
Draw
Catanzaro U19
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Cosenza U19
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Catanzaro U19
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cosenza U19
1–1–1
Catanzaro U19
(3 last)
- Catanzaro U193-1Cosenza U19
- Cosenza U191-0Catanzaro U19
- Cosenza U191-1Catanzaro U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cosenza U19 1427 · Catanzaro U19 1550
| Cosenza U19 | Draw | Catanzaro U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| Market | 19% | 22% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Catanzaro U19 (rating 1427 vs 1550).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cosenza U19 | Catanzaro U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 2.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/17/33% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3 | 2.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cosenza U19 1–1–1 Catanzaro U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Catanzaro U19 | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Cosenza U19 |
| 13/09/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Cosenza U19 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Catanzaro U19 |
| 04/02/17 Italy Campionato Nazionale | Cosenza U19 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Catanzaro U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perugia U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Catanzaro U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Bari U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Palermo U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Benevento U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Avellino U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Spezia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Latina U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Monopoli U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Pescara U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Pisa U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Ascoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Napoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 14 | Frosinone U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 | Cosenza U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cosenza U19 | Catanzaro U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Avellino U19 | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Monopoli U19 | 0-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Crotone U19 | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Bari U19 | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cosenza U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
Catanzaro U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/04 | Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cosenza U19 vs Catanzaro U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Catanzaro U19 win (59%). Probabilities: Cosenza U19 19%, draw 22%, Catanzaro U19 59%.
How many goals are expected in Cosenza U19 vs Catanzaro U19?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Cosenza U19 1.15 · Catanzaro U19 2.15), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cosenza U19 vs Catanzaro U19?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.