Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: Pescara U19 vs Ascoli U19

Team pages: Pescara U19 · Ascoli U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

Pescara U192.16

Ascoli U191.6

1X2

49% 23% 28%

Pescara U19 Draw Ascoli U19

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Pescara U19 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDDLWD

Ascoli U19 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Pescara U19 3–3 Ascoli U19 (6 last)

Ascoli U192-3Pescara U19
Pescara U191-0Ascoli U19
Ascoli U191-2Pescara U19
Pescara U191-4Ascoli U19
Ascoli U193-0Pescara U19
Pescara U191-2Ascoli U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pescara U19 1530 · Ascoli U19 1412

	Pescara U19	Draw	Ascoli U19
Our model	50%	22%	28%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pescara U19 (rating 1530 vs 1412).
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pescara U19	Ascoli U19
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2	1.6 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.70

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:25 +6’	1.83	3.70	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pescara U19 3–0–3 Ascoli U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Ascoli U19	2-3 HT 0-2	Pescara U19
20/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pescara U19	1-0	Ascoli U19
03/05/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Ascoli U19	1-2 HT 1-0	Pescara U19
02/11/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pescara U19	1-4 HT 1-4	Ascoli U19
10/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Ascoli U19	3-0 HT 1-0	Pescara U19
28/10/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pescara U19	1-2	Ascoli U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perugia U19	3	3	0	0	12	2	9
2	Catanzaro U19	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
3	Bari U19	3	2	1	0	8	3	7
4	Palermo U19	3	2	1	0	8	5	7
5	Benevento U19	3	2	0	1	9	3	6
6	Avellino U19	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
7	Spezia U19	3	1	1	1	6	4	4
8	Latina U19	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
8	Monopoli U19	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	Pescara U19	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
11	Pisa U19	3	1	0	2	5	8	3
12	Ascoli U19	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
13	Napoli U19	3	0	1	2	5	8	1
14	Frosinone U19	3	0	0	3	2	12	0
15	Cosenza U19	3	0	0	3	1	11	0
16	Salernitana U19	3	0	0	3	1	14	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pescara U19	Ascoli U19
Monopoli U19	2-2 D	2-4 L
Spezia U19	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pescara U19 (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pescara U19

DWLWWDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	2-2	4	4	D
12/09	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	3-1	3	2	W
08/09	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-3	2	0	L
16/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
09/05	Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
02/05	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	5-2	3	5	W
24/04	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-2	7	1	W
18/04	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-4	4	1	L
11/04	Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	3-2	8	6	W
04/04	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	8	4	D

Ascoli U19

LLLLLLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Napoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
12/09	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
05/09	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
09/05	Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
02/05	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-3	–	–	L
24/04	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	2-3	6	1	L
18/04	Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-3	4	5	L
11/04	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
02/04	Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-3	2-3	2	2	L
21/03	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-4	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pescara U19 vs Ascoli U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pescara U19 win (49%). Probabilities: Pescara U19 49%, draw 23%, Ascoli U19 28%.

How many goals are expected in Pescara U19 vs Ascoli U19?

The model expects 3.76 goals (Pescara U19 2.16 · Ascoli U19 1.6), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pescara U19 vs Ascoli U19?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.