Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 10/10, 12:00

Prediction: Salernitana U19 vs Benevento U19

Team pages: Salernitana U19 · Benevento U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Salernitana U190.96

Benevento U192.09

1X2

16% 21% 63%

Salernitana U19 Draw Benevento U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Salernitana U19 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLWLLL

Benevento U19 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWWLW

Head-to-head

Salernitana U19 2–4 Benevento U19 (6 last)

Benevento U193-0Salernitana U19
Salernitana U190-1Benevento U19
Benevento U191-2Salernitana U19
Salernitana U191-0Benevento U19
Benevento U192-1Salernitana U19
Salernitana U190-3Benevento U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salernitana U19 1387 · Benevento U19 1535

	Salernitana U19	Draw	Benevento U19
Our model	15%	22%	63%
Market	16%	20%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benevento U19 (rating 1387 vs 1535).
H2H favours Benevento U19: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Salernitana U19	Benevento U19
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 3	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1.3	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/44/56%	11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.50

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.95

2 (-1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:57 +19’	5.50	4.50	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Salernitana U19 2–0–4 Benevento U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Benevento U19	3-0 HT 0-0	Salernitana U19
29/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Salernitana U19	0-1 HT 0-1	Benevento U19
29/03/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Benevento U19	1-2 HT 0-2	Salernitana U19
26/10/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Salernitana U19	1-0 HT 1-0	Benevento U19
16/03/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Benevento U19	2-1 HT 1-0	Salernitana U19
16/09/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Salernitana U19	0-3 HT 0-1	Benevento U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perugia U19	3	3	0	0	12	2	9
2	Catanzaro U19	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
3	Bari U19	3	2	1	0	8	3	7
4	Palermo U19	3	2	1	0	8	5	7
5	Benevento U19	3	2	0	1	9	3	6
6	Avellino U19	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
7	Spezia U19	3	1	1	1	6	4	4
8	Latina U19	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
8	Monopoli U19	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	Pescara U19	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
11	Pisa U19	3	1	0	2	5	8	3
12	Ascoli U19	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
13	Napoli U19	3	0	1	2	5	8	1
14	Frosinone U19	3	0	0	3	2	12	0
15	Cosenza U19	3	0	0	3	1	11	0
16	Salernitana U19	3	0	0	3	1	14	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Salernitana U19	Benevento U19
Bari U19	0-4 L	2-1 W
Cosenza U19	2-2 D	5-0 W
Empoli U19	0-4 L	0-3 L
Pescara U19	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Benevento U19 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salernitana U19

LLLLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-5	0-6	3	4	L
12/09	Latina U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-3	1-4	6	3	L
05/09	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-4	3	3	L
09/05	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
02/05	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-3	–	–	L
25/04	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
18/04	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-3	4	0	L
11/04	Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
04/04	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-3	6	4	L
21/03	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	2	2	L

Benevento U19

LWLWWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	5-0	–	–	W
12/09	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	1-3	10	2	L
05/09	Frosinone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-0	8	6	W
09/05	Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
02/05	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	2-5	5	5	L
25/04	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
18/04	Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
11/04	Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-2	8	7	L
04/04	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	3-0	4	4	W
21/03	Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-3	10	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salernitana U19 vs Benevento U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Benevento U19 win (63%). Probabilities: Salernitana U19 16%, draw 21%, Benevento U19 63%.

How many goals are expected in Salernitana U19 vs Benevento U19?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Salernitana U19 0.96 · Benevento U19 2.09), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Salernitana U19 vs Benevento U19?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.