Football · Italy Serie D · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: ASD Ragusa vs Nissa FC

Team pages: ASD Ragusa · Nissa FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
ASD Ragusa0.53
Nissa FC1.51
1X2
13% 26% 62%
ASD Ragusa Draw Nissa FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-1 19%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Ragusa 0-4-6 (W-D-L)
LDDLDLDLLL
Nissa FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDWDWDWLLD
Head-to-head
ASD Ragusa 1–2–1 Nissa FC (4 last)
  • Nissa FC1-0ASD Ragusa
  • ASD Ragusa0-0Nissa FC
  • ASD Ragusa3-1Nissa FC
  • Nissa FC0-0ASD Ragusa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Ragusa 1419 · Nissa FC 1517
ASD RagusaDrawNissa FC
Our model12%28%60%
Market14%24%62%
Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nissa FC (rating 1419 vs 1517).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD RagusaNissa FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.21.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 10.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/33/67%56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 2.33 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 04.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Ragusa 1–2–1 Nissa FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Italy Serie D
Nissa FC1-0ASD Ragusa
28/09/25
Italy Serie D
ASD Ragusa0-0Nissa FC
30/03/25
Italy Serie D
ASD Ragusa3-1Nissa FC
17/11/24
Italy Serie D
Nissa FC0-0ASD Ragusa

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 6501 15115
2 Vibonese 6411 15513
3 Sambiase 6411 10513
4 Calcio Avola 1949 6402 91012
5 Igea Virtus 6321 141111
6 ASD Licata 6321 8811
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 6231 849
8 Milazzo 6303 589
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 6222 988
10 Nissa FC 6222 998
11 Modica 6213 657
12 Vigor Lamezia 6123 7135
13 Siracusa 6321 854
14 Città di Gela 6123 464
15 ASD CastrumFavara 6114 574
16 ASD Ragusa 6024 492
17 Trapani 6204 3101
18 Enna Calcio 6015 0151

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASD RagusaNissa FC
Calcio Avola 1949 0-1 L 2-4 L
Trapani 0-1 L 2-0 W
ASD Licata 0-1 L 1-1 D
Vigor Lamezia 1-1 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nissa FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Ragusa

LDDLDLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Calcio Avola 1949
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
27/09 Trapani
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
20/09 ASD Licata
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 05 L
16/09 Vigor Lamezia
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
13/09 Milazzo
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-3 56 L
06/09 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
03/05 SSD Athletic Club Palermo
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
26/04 Acireale
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
19/04 ASD Sancataldese
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
12/04 ACR Messina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 27 L

Nissa FC

WDWDWDWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 46 D
27/09 Vibonese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 85 L
20/09 Calcio Avola 1949
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-4 65 L
16/09 Trapani
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 67 W
13/09 ASD Licata
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 123 D
06/09 Vigor Lamezia
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-1 33 W
17/05 Reggina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 37 D
03/05 ASD Paterno
Italy Serie D
– 4-1 –– W
26/04 Sambiase
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 15 D
19/04 Enna Calcio
Italy Serie D
3-0 3-0 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Ragusa vs Nissa FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nissa FC win (62%). Probabilities: ASD Ragusa 13%, draw 26%, Nissa FC 62%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Ragusa vs Nissa FC?

The model expects 2.05 goals (ASD Ragusa 0.53 · Nissa FC 1.51), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Ragusa vs Nissa FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.