Football · Italy Serie D · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: Reggina vs Vibonese

Team pages: Reggina · Vibonese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Reggina1.87
Vibonese0.88
1X2
60% 24% 16%
Reggina Draw Vibonese
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Reggina 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWWWWL
Vibonese 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLDWWDLWWW
Head-to-head
Reggina 4–2–0 Vibonese (6 last)
  • Reggina3-0Vibonese
  • Vibonese0-0Reggina
  • Reggina1-1Vibonese
  • Reggina2-0Vibonese
  • Reggina2-1Vibonese
  • Vibonese0-1Reggina
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Reggina 1588 · Vibonese 1552
RegginaDrawVibonese
Our model60%24%16%
Market60%24%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Reggina: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RegginaVibonese
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.42 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 01 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)57/43/0%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.11.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.34.7 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Reggina 4–2–0 Vibonese

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/01/26
Italy Serie D
Reggina3-0
HT 3-0
Vibonese
21/09/25
Italy Serie D
Vibonese0-0
HT 0-0
Reggina
31/08/25
Italy Serie D Cup
Reggina1-1
HT 0-0
Vibonese
11/05/25
Italy Serie D Play-Offs
Reggina2-0
HT 1-0
Vibonese
30/03/25
Italy Serie D
Reggina2-1
HT 2-1
Vibonese
17/11/24
Italy Serie D
Vibonese0-1
HT 0-1
Reggina

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 6501 15115
2 Vibonese 6411 15513
3 Sambiase 6411 10513
4 Calcio Avola 1949 6402 91012
5 Igea Virtus 6321 141111
6 ASD Licata 6321 8811
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 6231 849
8 Milazzo 6303 589
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 6222 988
10 Nissa FC 6222 998
11 Modica 6213 657
12 Vigor Lamezia 6123 7135
13 Siracusa 6321 854
14 Città di Gela 6123 464
15 ASD CastrumFavara 6114 574
16 ASD Ragusa 6024 492
17 Trapani 6204 3101
18 Enna Calcio 6015 0151

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRegginaVibonese
Trapani 0-1 L 4-0 W
Igea Virtus 2-0 W 3-4 L
Nissa FC 0-0 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vibonese (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reggina

WWWDWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Trapani
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
27/09 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 66 W
20/09 Vigor Lamezia
Italy Serie D
3-0 3-0 63 W
16/09 Calcio Avola 1949
Italy Serie D
2-0 4-0 53 W
13/09 Modica
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 68 W
06/09 ASD Licata
Italy Serie D
– 5-0 –– W
17/05 Nissa FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 27 D
03/05 Sambiase
Italy Serie D
2-0 4-2 41 W
26/04 Milazzo
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
19/04 ASD Paterno
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 75 W

Vibonese

LLDWWDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 45 W
27/09 Nissa FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 45 W
20/09 SSD Athletic Club Palermo
Italy Serie D
0-0 3-0 56 W
16/09 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-4 35 L
12/09 Siracusa
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
06/09 Trapani
Italy Serie D
3-0 4-0 23 W
03/05 Acireale
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 07 W
26/04 Città di Gela
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
22/04 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
19/04 SSD Athletic Club Palermo
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reggina vs Vibonese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Reggina win (60%). Probabilities: Reggina 60%, draw 24%, Vibonese 16%.

How many goals are expected in Reggina vs Vibonese?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Reggina 1.87 · Vibonese 0.88), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Reggina vs Vibonese?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.