Prediction: SCD Progresso Calcio vs Robur Siena
Team pages: SCD Progresso Calcio · Robur Siena
| SCD Progresso Calcio | Draw | Robur Siena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| Market | 18% | 22% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robur Siena (rating 1465 vs 1589).
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SCD Progresso Calcio | Robur Siena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 2.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/14/57% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 4 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.4 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Vibonese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | ASD Licata | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Nissa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Modica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 13 | Siracusa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | ASD CastrumFavara | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | ASD Ragusa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | Trapani | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SCD Progresso Calcio | Robur Siena |
|---|---|---|
| Aquila 1902 Montevarchi | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| ASD Seravezza Calcio | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Lucchese | 0-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Scandicci | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Robur Siena (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SCD Progresso Calcio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | ASD Rondinella Marzocco Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | Lucchese Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Scandicci Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Lentigione Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Robur Siena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Lucchese Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/09 | ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio Italy Serie D |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Mezzolara Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Scandicci Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 21 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D |
– | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Camaiore Italy Serie D |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SCD Progresso Calcio vs Robur Siena?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Robur Siena win (60%). Probabilities: SCD Progresso Calcio 18%, draw 22%, Robur Siena 60%.
How many goals are expected in SCD Progresso Calcio vs Robur Siena?
The model expects 3.21 goals (SCD Progresso Calcio 1.09 · Robur Siena 2.11), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SCD Progresso Calcio vs Robur Siena?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.