Football · Italy Serie D · 11/10, 15:00
Prediction: ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Virtus Flaminia
Team pages: ASD Seravezza Calcio · Virtus Flaminia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
ASD Seravezza Calcio2.08
Virtus Flaminia1.09
1X2
ASD Seravezza Calcio
Draw
Virtus Flaminia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Seravezza Calcio
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Virtus Flaminia
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASD Seravezza Calcio
0–2–2
Virtus Flaminia
(4 last)
- ASD Seravezza Calcio2-4Virtus Flaminia
- Virtus Flaminia1-1ASD Seravezza Calcio
- ASD Seravezza Calcio2-2Virtus Flaminia
- Virtus Flaminia2-1ASD Seravezza Calcio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASD Seravezza Calcio 1531 · Virtus Flaminia 1484
| ASD Seravezza Calcio | Draw | Virtus Flaminia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASD Seravezza Calcio (rating 1531 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Virtus Flaminia: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Seravezza Calcio | Virtus Flaminia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.3 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/14/29% | 25/75/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.3 | 3.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Seravezza Calcio 0–2–2 Virtus Flaminia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/25 Italy Serie D | ASD Seravezza Calcio | 2-4 HT 2-3 | Virtus Flaminia |
| 03/11/24 Italy Serie D | Virtus Flaminia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | ASD Seravezza Calcio |
| 16/04/23 Italy Serie D | ASD Seravezza Calcio | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Virtus Flaminia |
| 04/12/22 Italy Serie D | Virtus Flaminia | 2-1 HT 1-0 | ASD Seravezza Calcio |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Vibonese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | ASD Licata | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Nissa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Modica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 13 | Siracusa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | ASD CastrumFavara | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | ASD Ragusa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | Trapani | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASD Seravezza Calcio | Virtus Flaminia |
|---|---|---|
| ASD Terranuova Traiana | 3-0 W | 1-5 L |
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Seravezza Calcio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Robur Siena Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Lucchese Italy Serie D |
5-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Prato Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Foligno Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Virtus Flaminia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Gavorrano Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | ASD Grassina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Ghiviborgo Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Montespaccato Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Budoni Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Nocerina Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Cynthialbalonga Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Virtus Flaminia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Seravezza Calcio win (59%). Probabilities: ASD Seravezza Calcio 59%, draw 23%, Virtus Flaminia 18%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Virtus Flaminia?
The model expects 3.17 goals (ASD Seravezza Calcio 2.08 · Virtus Flaminia 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Virtus Flaminia?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.