Football · Italy Serie D · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: Gavorrano vs ASD Terranuova Traiana

Team pages: Gavorrano · ASD Terranuova Traiana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Gavorrano1.62

ASD Terranuova Traiana0.93

1X2

53% 27% 21%

Gavorrano Draw ASD Terranuova Traiana

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Gavorrano 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLWLWDWWWD

ASD Terranuova Traiana 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWDWLD

Head-to-head

Gavorrano 1–3–2 ASD Terranuova Traiana (6 last)

ASD Terranuova Traiana1-0Gavorrano
Gavorrano0-1ASD Terranuova Traiana
Gavorrano2-2ASD Terranuova Traiana
ASD Terranuova Traiana0-0Gavorrano
Gavorrano3-1ASD Terranuova Traiana
ASD Terranuova Traiana0-0Gavorrano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gavorrano 1544 · ASD Terranuova Traiana 1486

	Gavorrano	Draw	ASD Terranuova Traiana
Our model	52%	27%	20%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gavorrano (rating 1544 vs 1486).
H2H favours ASD Terranuova Traiana: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gavorrano	ASD Terranuova Traiana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4	0.5 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.5	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.40

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:09 +19’	1.70	3.40	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gavorrano 1–3–2 ASD Terranuova Traiana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Italy Serie D	ASD Terranuova Traiana	1-0	Gavorrano
24/09/25 Italy Serie D	Gavorrano	0-1 HT 0-1	ASD Terranuova Traiana
12/01/25 Italy Serie D	Gavorrano	2-2	ASD Terranuova Traiana
15/09/24 Italy Serie D	ASD Terranuova Traiana	0-0	Gavorrano
19/03/23 Italy Serie D	Gavorrano	3-1 HT 2-0	ASD Terranuova Traiana
13/11/22 Italy Serie D	ASD Terranuova Traiana	0-0	Gavorrano

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	6	5	0	1	15	1	15
2	Vibonese	6	4	1	1	15	5	13
3	Sambiase	6	4	1	1	10	5	13
4	Calcio Avola 1949	6	4	0	2	9	10	12
5	Igea Virtus	6	3	2	1	14	11	11
6	ASD Licata	6	3	2	1	8	8	11
7	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	6	2	3	1	8	4	9
8	Milazzo	6	3	0	3	5	8	9
9	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	6	2	2	2	9	8	8
10	Nissa FC	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
11	Modica	6	2	1	3	6	5	7
12	Vigor Lamezia	6	1	2	3	7	13	5
13	Siracusa	6	3	2	1	8	5	4
14	Città di Gela	6	1	2	3	4	6	4
15	ASD CastrumFavara	6	1	1	4	5	7	4
16	ASD Ragusa	6	0	2	4	4	9	2
17	Trapani	6	2	0	4	3	10	1
18	Enna Calcio	6	0	1	5	0	15	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gavorrano	ASD Terranuova Traiana
Virtus Flaminia	1-1 D	5-1 W
ASD Sasso Marconi	2-1 W	1-2 L
San Donato Tavarnelle	2-0 W	1-1 D
GSD Ghiviborgo VDS	1-0 W	3-1 W
ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio	1-2 L	2-3 L
Orvietana	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Terranuova Traiana (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gavorrano

DLWLWDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
20/09	San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
16/09	GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D	–	1-0	0	0	W
12/09	Nuova Ternana Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
06/09	ASD Grassina Italy Serie D	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
03/05	ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	Scandicci Italy Serie D	1-1	3-1	3	6	W
19/04	Orvietana Italy Serie D	0-0	0-1	6	9	L
12/04	ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	5	3	D

ASD Terranuova Traiana

DWLDLWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Prato Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D	0-3	0-3	5	5	L
20/09	Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D	–	5-1	–	–	W
16/09	San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D	2-0	3-1	0	4	W
06/09	ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/05	Orvietana Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
26/04	ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio Italy Serie D	–	2-3	–	–	L
19/04	Camaiore Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/04	Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gavorrano vs ASD Terranuova Traiana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gavorrano win (53%). Probabilities: Gavorrano 53%, draw 27%, ASD Terranuova Traiana 21%.

How many goals are expected in Gavorrano vs ASD Terranuova Traiana?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Gavorrano 1.62 · ASD Terranuova Traiana 0.93), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gavorrano vs ASD Terranuova Traiana?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.