Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 13/08, 20:00

Prediction: IK Sleipner vs Lindö FF

Team pages: IK Sleipner · Lindö FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

IK Sleipner2.16

Lindö FF1.48

1X2

52% 23% 25%

IK Sleipner Draw Lindö FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IK Sleipner 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDDLWL

Lindö FF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWWDL

Head-to-head

IK Sleipner 2–0 Lindö FF (2 last)

Lindö FF2-3IK Sleipner
IK Sleipner4-1Lindö FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Sleipner 1517 · Lindö FF 1489

	IK Sleipner	Draw	Lindö FF
Our model	52%	22%	25%
Market	52%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IK Sleipner: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Sleipner	Lindö FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.67▼	Bet365 1.67
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	3.60 → 3.75▲	Pinn 3.90 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:14 +12’	1.73	3.80	3.60
10:58 +2’	1.67▼	3.90▲	3.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:22 +1’	1.67	3.70	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Sleipner 2–0–0 Lindö FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Lindö FF	2-3 HT 0-2	IK Sleipner
04/08/19 Sweden 3.div Nordöstra Götaland	IK Sleipner	4-1 HT 1-1	Lindö FF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Forward	16	10	3	3	31	19	33
2	Nykopings BIS	16	10	2	4	28	13	32
3	IFK Haninge	16	10	2	4	40	28	32
4	IK Sleipner	16	8	4	4	30	29	28
5	FOC Farsta	16	8	3	5	33	20	27
6	Smedby AIS	16	8	3	5	32	22	27
7	Ragsveds IF	16	7	5	4	33	25	26
8	Fittja IF	16	7	2	7	30	31	23
9	Örebro Syrianska IF	16	5	2	9	17	19	17
10	Lindö FF	16	5	2	9	24	27	17
11	Syrianska FC	16	4	3	9	25	38	15
12	Karlslunds IF FK	16	3	5	8	18	28	14
13	IF Eker Örebro	16	4	2	10	18	44	14
14	Nacka FC	16	3	2	11	18	34	11
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Sleipner	Lindö FF
Nykopings BIS	0-1 L	0-1 L
Ragsveds IF	4-4 D	2-4 L
Örebro Syrianska IF	1-0 W	2-0 W
Smedby AIS	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lindö FF (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IK Sleipner

WDLWWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	4-2	8	1	W
27/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	1-6	5	4	L
22/06	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
13/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	4-4	7	5	D
07/06	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
31/05	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
24/05	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-2	2-3	3	3	L
14/05	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
07/05	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-1	8	1	W

Lindö FF

LLLLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	2-3	5	5	L
01/08	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
24/06	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
21/06	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
14/06	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	4-0	9	4	W
11/06	AC Studenterna Sweden Cup Qualification	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
06/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-2	2-4	1	3	L
30/05	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	0-3	10	1	L
23/05	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
14/05	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Sleipner vs Lindö FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Sleipner win (52%). Probabilities: IK Sleipner 52%, draw 23%, Lindö FF 25%.

How many goals are expected in IK Sleipner vs Lindö FF?

The model expects 3.63 goals (IK Sleipner 2.16 · Lindö FF 1.48), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Sleipner vs Lindö FF?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.