Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 22/08, 13:00

Prediction: IFK Haninge vs Nykopings BIS

Team pages: IFK Haninge · Nykopings BIS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

IFK Haninge1.99

Nykopings BIS1.56

1X2

47% 24% 30%

IFK Haninge Draw Nykopings BIS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Haninge 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWDL

Nykopings BIS 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDWLWL

Head-to-head

IFK Haninge 3–1–2 Nykopings BIS (6 last)

Nykopings BIS6-1IFK Haninge
IFK Haninge2-1Nykopings BIS
Nykopings BIS1-3IFK Haninge
IFK Haninge1-1Nykopings BIS
Nykopings BIS2-1IFK Haninge
Nykopings BIS2-6IFK Haninge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Haninge 1556 · Nykopings BIS 1515

	IFK Haninge	Draw	Nykopings BIS
Our model	47%	23%	30%
Market	47%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Haninge (rating 1556 vs 1515).
H2H favours IFK Haninge: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Haninge	Nykopings BIS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.4	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.75

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.90▲	Bet365 1.90
X	3.80 → 3.75▼	Bet365 3.75
2	3.20 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:48 +7’	1.83	3.80	3.20
08:19 +4’	1.90▲	3.75▼	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Haninge 3–1–2 Nykopings BIS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Nykopings BIS	6-1 HT 1-0	IFK Haninge
17/08/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IFK Haninge	2-1 HT 0-1	Nykopings BIS
20/04/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Nykopings BIS	1-3 HT 1-1	IFK Haninge
15/10/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IFK Haninge	1-1 HT 0-0	Nykopings BIS
17/06/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Nykopings BIS	2-1 HT 0-1	IFK Haninge
23/09/20 Sweden 1.div Norra	Nykopings BIS	2-6 HT 2-1	IFK Haninge

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Forward	17	11	3	3	36	19	36
2	Nykopings BIS	17	10	2	5	28	16	32
3	IFK Haninge	17	10	2	5	40	31	32
4	IK Sleipner	17	9	4	4	32	30	31
5	FOC Farsta	17	9	3	5	36	20	30
6	Smedby AIS	17	9	3	5	33	22	30
7	Ragsveds IF	17	7	5	5	33	26	26
8	Fittja IF	17	8	2	7	31	31	26
9	Örebro Syrianska IF	17	5	2	10	17	20	17
10	Lindö FF	17	5	2	10	25	29	17
11	Karlslunds IF FK	17	4	5	8	21	28	17
12	Syrianska FC	17	4	3	10	25	43	15
13	Nacka FC	17	4	2	11	19	34	14
14	IF Eker Örebro	17	4	2	11	18	45	14
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Haninge	Nykopings BIS
FOC Farsta	2-2 D	0-3 L
Fittja IF	2-0 W	0-2 L
IK Sleipner	6-1 W	1-0 W
Smedby AIS	4-1 W	0-1 L
Nacka FC	5-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Haninge (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Haninge

WLWWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
08/08	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
02/08	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
27/06	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	6-1	4	4	W
21/06	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	4-1	4	3	W
13/06	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	3-0	1	4	W
06/06	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	5-1	7	2	W
31/05	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	3-1	6	1	W
22/05	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	0-5	3	4	L
16/05	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	6	4	W

Nykopings BIS

WWWLLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-3	10	3	L
09/08	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
02/08	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/06	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	4-1	8	0	W
22/06	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
15/06	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
06/06	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
29/05	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
23/05	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
14/05	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Haninge vs Nykopings BIS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Haninge win (47%). Probabilities: IFK Haninge 47%, draw 24%, Nykopings BIS 30%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Haninge vs Nykopings BIS?

The model expects 3.55 goals (IFK Haninge 1.99 · Nykopings BIS 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Haninge vs Nykopings BIS?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.