Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: Syrianska FC vs Smedby AIS

Team pages: Syrianska FC · Smedby AIS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Syrianska FC1.31

Smedby AIS1.73

1X2

29% 24% 47%

Syrianska FC Draw Smedby AIS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Syrianska FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDLWLL

Smedby AIS 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLWLLWDW

Head-to-head

Syrianska FC 2–1–3 Smedby AIS (6 last)

Smedby AIS4-0Syrianska FC
Syrianska FC1-0Smedby AIS
Smedby AIS1-1Syrianska FC
Syrianska FC2-3Smedby AIS
Smedby AIS1-4Syrianska FC
Smedby AIS1-0Syrianska FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Syrianska FC 1448 · Smedby AIS 1512

	Syrianska FC	Draw	Smedby AIS
Our model	28%	26%	46%
Market	29%	23%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Smedby AIS (rating 1448 vs 1512).
H2H favours Smedby AIS: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Syrianska FC	Smedby AIS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.5	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.8	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.90

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	1.91 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:02 +4’	3.10	3.75	1.91
10:53 +9’	3.10	3.90▲	1.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Syrianska FC 2–1–3 Smedby AIS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Smedby AIS	4-0 HT 0-0	Syrianska FC
09/08/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Syrianska FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Smedby AIS
06/06/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Smedby AIS	1-1 HT 0-0	Syrianska FC
28/09/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Syrianska FC	2-3 HT 0-2	Smedby AIS
01/06/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Smedby AIS	1-4 HT 0-1	Syrianska FC
16/09/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Smedby AIS	1-0 HT 0-0	Syrianska FC

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Forward	17	11	3	3	36	19	36
2	Nykopings BIS	17	10	2	5	28	16	32
3	IFK Haninge	17	10	2	5	40	31	32
4	IK Sleipner	17	9	4	4	32	30	31
5	FOC Farsta	17	9	3	5	36	20	30
6	Smedby AIS	17	9	3	5	33	22	30
7	Ragsveds IF	17	7	5	5	33	26	26
8	Fittja IF	17	8	2	7	31	31	26
9	Örebro Syrianska IF	17	5	2	10	17	20	17
10	Lindö FF	17	5	2	10	25	29	17
11	Karlslunds IF FK	17	4	5	8	21	28	17
12	Syrianska FC	17	4	3	10	25	43	15
13	Nacka FC	17	4	2	11	19	34	14
14	IF Eker Örebro	17	4	2	11	18	45	14
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Syrianska FC	Smedby AIS
IF Eker Örebro	4-1 W	1-0 W
Örebro Syrianska IF	0-3 L	2-0 W
Karlslunds IF FK	3-2 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Syrianska FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Syrianska FC

DLWLLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	0-5	2	2	L
08/08	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
01/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-1	4-1	1	2	W
28/06	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
22/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-2	2-2	4	4	D
14/06	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
06/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
31/05	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	3-2	5	4	W
23/05	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-4	4	0	L
16/05	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	2-2	4	3	D

Smedby AIS

DWDLWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
08/08	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
24/06	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
21/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	1-4	6	3	L
15/06	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
07/06	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
30/05	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
23/05	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	4-0	6	0	W
14/05	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-1	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Syrianska FC vs Smedby AIS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Smedby AIS win (47%). Probabilities: Syrianska FC 29%, draw 24%, Smedby AIS 47%.

How many goals are expected in Syrianska FC vs Smedby AIS?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Syrianska FC 1.31 · Smedby AIS 1.73), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Syrianska FC vs Smedby AIS?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.