Football · Spain Tercera Group 14 · 13/09, 12:00
Prediction: Villanovense vs AD Llerenense
Team pages: Villanovense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Villanovense1.57
AD Llerenense0.85
1X2
Villanovense
Draw
AD Llerenense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Villanovense
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
AD Llerenense
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Villanovense
5–1–0
AD Llerenense
(6 last)
- AD Llerenense0-2Villanovense
- Villanovense1-0AD Llerenense
- Villanovense1-0AD Llerenense
- AD Llerenense0-0Villanovense
- Villanovense2-0AD Llerenense
- AD Llerenense2-4Villanovense
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villanovense (rating 1507 vs 1453).
- H2H favours Villanovense: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villanovense | AD Llerenense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/0/33% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.3 | 0 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7 / 0.7 | 5.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villanovense 5–1–0 AD Llerenense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 14 | AD Llerenense | 0-2 | Villanovense |
| 07/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 14 | Villanovense | 1-0 | AD Llerenense |
| 11/02/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 | Villanovense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AD Llerenense |
| 01/10/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 | AD Llerenense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Villanovense |
| 21/12/19 Spain Tercera Group 14 | Villanovense | 2-0 | AD Llerenense |
| 29/07/18 Europe Friendlies | AD Llerenense | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Villanovense |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 14
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Castuera | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CD Cabeza del Buey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Moralo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | AD Llerenense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | CD Zafra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | At. Pueblonuevo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | CF Jaraiz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | E.F. Puebla de la Calzada | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Jerez | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Santa Amalia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Plasencia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Villanovense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | CD Quintana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | UD Montijo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | CD Guadiana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | CD Gevora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villanovense | AD Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| CF Jaraiz | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CP Montehermoso | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Jerez | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CD Cabeza del Buey | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| CD Badajoz | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| At. Pueblonuevo | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Villanovense (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villanovense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Moralo Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | CF Jaraiz Spain Tercera Group 14 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | CP Montehermoso Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Jerez Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | CD Cabeza del Buey Spain Tercera Group 14 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 12/04 | AD Llerenense Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | CD Badajoz Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | At. Pueblonuevo Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | UD Montijo Spain Tercera Group 14 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 15/03 | Moralo Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
AD Llerenense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | CD Guadiana Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Calamonte Spain Tercera Group 14 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | E.F. Puebla de la Calzada Spain Tercera Group 14 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | CF Jaraiz Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | CP Montehermoso Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Villanovense Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | CD Cabeza del Buey Spain Tercera Group 14 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Jerez Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | CD Badajoz Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | At. Pueblonuevo Spain Tercera Group 14 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villanovense vs AD Llerenense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Villanovense win (53%). Probabilities: Villanovense 53%, draw 28%, AD Llerenense 19%.
How many goals are expected in Villanovense vs AD Llerenense?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Villanovense 1.57 · AD Llerenense 0.85), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Villanovense vs AD Llerenense?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.