Football · Spain Tercera Group 14 · 20/09, 12:30

Prediction: CD Cabeza del Buey vs CD Azuaga

Team pages: CD Cabeza del Buey · CD Azuaga

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

CD Cabeza del Buey1.19

CD Azuaga1.09

1X2

37% 31% 32%

CD Cabeza del Buey Draw CD Azuaga

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Cabeza del Buey 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLWWL

CD Azuaga 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWLLWW

Head-to-head

CD Cabeza del Buey 0–1–1 CD Azuaga (2 last)

CD Azuaga3-1CD Cabeza del Buey
CD Cabeza del Buey1-1CD Azuaga

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Azuaga (rating 1509 vs 1549).
Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Cabeza del Buey	CD Azuaga
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.5 / 3.7	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.7 / 1	5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.97

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:52

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.67 → 2.67	Pinn 2.67
X	3.05 → 3.05	Pinn 3.05
2	2.57 → 2.57	Pinn 2.57

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:14 +38’	2.67	3.05	2.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cabeza del Buey 0–1–1 CD Azuaga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 14	CD Azuaga	3-1	CD Cabeza del Buey
21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 14	CD Cabeza del Buey	1-1	CD Azuaga

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 14

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Llerenense	3	3	0	0	3	0	9
2	E.F. Puebla de la Calzada	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
3	CD Azuaga	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
4	CD Zafra	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
5	Moralo	2	2	0	0	5	3	6
6	Santa Amalia	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
7	Jerez	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
8	Castuera	2	1	0	1	5	2	3
9	CD Cabeza del Buey	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
10	SP Villafranca	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
11	CD Gevora	2	1	0	1	4	7	3
12	CF Jaraiz	3	0	1	2	4	6	1
13	At. Pueblonuevo	2	0	1	1	3	6	1
14	Plasencia	3	0	1	2	2	7	1
15	Villanovense	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
16	CD Guadiana	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
17	UD Montijo	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
18	CD Quintana	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Cabeza del Buey	CD Azuaga
UD Montijo	3-1 W	2-0 W
At. Pueblonuevo	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Cabeza del Buey (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Cabeza del Buey

WLWWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Jerez Spain Tercera Group 14	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	UD Montijo Spain Tercera Group 14	–	3-1	–	–	W
10/05	E.F. Puebla de la Calzada Spain Tercera Group 14	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	CF Jaraiz Spain Tercera Group 14	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	CP Montehermoso Spain Tercera Group 14	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/04	Villanovense Spain Tercera Group 14	1-2	2-3	9	9	L
12/04	Jerez Spain Tercera Group 14	–	3-0	–	–	W
03/04	AD Llerenense Spain Tercera Group 14	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
29/03	CD Badajoz Spain Tercera Group 14	1-1	1-2	1	9	L
22/03	At. Pueblonuevo Spain Tercera Group 14	–	2-0	–	–	W

CD Azuaga

WLWWDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	UD Montijo Spain Tercera Group 14	–	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	SP Villafranca Spain Tercera Group 14	–	4-1	–	–	W
17/05	Moralo Spain Tercera Group 14	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
10/05	At. Pueblonuevo Spain Tercera Group 14	–	0-1	–	–	L
02/05	UD Montijo Spain Tercera Group 14	3-1	4-2	8	6	W
26/04	Moralo Spain Tercera Group 14	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/04	CD Diocesano Spain Tercera Group 14	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/04	SP Villafranca Spain Tercera Group 14	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
05/04	Don Benito Spain Tercera Group 14	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
29/03	Santa Amalia Spain Tercera Group 14	–	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cabeza del Buey vs CD Azuaga?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Cabeza del Buey win (37%). Probabilities: CD Cabeza del Buey 37%, draw 31%, CD Azuaga 32%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cabeza del Buey vs CD Azuaga?

The model expects 2.29 goals (CD Cabeza del Buey 1.19 · CD Azuaga 1.09), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cabeza del Buey vs CD Azuaga?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.