Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 21/08, 20:30

Prediction: Mid Ulster (W) vs Bangor FC (W)

Team pages: Mid Ulster (W) · Bangor FC (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.29Total
Mid Ulster (W)1.62
Bangor FC (W)2.67
1X2
22% 18% 60%
Mid Ulster (W) Draw Bangor FC (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Mid Ulster (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDLDLLLWWW
Bangor FC (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LLWWWWDLWW
Head-to-head
Mid Ulster (W) 1–1 Bangor FC (W) (2 last)
  • Bangor FC (W)7-0Mid Ulster (W)
  • Bangor FC (W)0-1Mid Ulster (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mid Ulster (W) 1475 · Bangor FC (W) 1546
Mid Ulster (W)DrawBangor FC (W)
Our model21%19%60%
Market22%18%60%
Estimated total (ours) 4.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bangor FC (W) (rating 1475 vs 1546).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mid Ulster (W)Bangor FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.83 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.61.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/10/60%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.43.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.2 / 00.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mid Ulster (W) 101 Bangor FC (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
13/05/26
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Bangor FC (W)7-0
HT 3-0
Mid Ulster (W)
06/08/25
Northern Ireland Championship Women
Bangor FC (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Mid Ulster (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMid Ulster (W)Bangor FC (W)
Strabane Athletic (W) 4-1 W 5-3 W
Ballymoney United (W) 2-1 W 6-1 W
Ballyclare Comrades (W) 3-1 W 4-1 W
Greenisland (W) 0-6 L 3-1 W
Sion Swifts (W) 1-3 L 1-4 L
Craigavon City (W) 0-1 L 2-0 W
Ballymena Utd (W) 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 3 L 5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bangor FC (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mid Ulster (W)

LDLDLLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
4-0 4-1 51 W
07/08 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 2-1 20 W
31/07 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 3-1 22 W
10/07 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-5 0-6 50 L
03/07 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 1-3 20 L
05/06 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-1 22 L
22/05 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-0 93 D
13/05 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-3 0-7 21 L
08/05 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-2 2-2 51 D
29/04 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-1 3-6 02 L

Bangor FC (W)

LLWWWWDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Greenisland (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 3-1 60 W
24/07 Craigavon City (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 2-0 100 W
17/07 Derry City (W)
Northern Ireland Cup Women
0-6 1-9 52 L
08/07 Ballymena Utd (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-0 51 D
01/07 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 6-1 30 W
17/06 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 5-3 82 W
03/06 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
2-0 4-1 80 W
13/05 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
3-0 7-0 31 W
06/05 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-2 1-4 41 L
29/04 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 1-4 61 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mid Ulster (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bangor FC (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Mid Ulster (W) 22%, draw 18%, Bangor FC (W) 60%.

How many goals are expected in Mid Ulster (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?

The model expects 4.29 goals (Mid Ulster (W) 1.62 · Bangor FC (W) 2.67), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Mid Ulster (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.