Prediction: Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarnese
Team pages: Atletico Lodigiani · Sarnese
- Atletico Lodigiani1-1Sarnese
- Sarnese4-0Atletico Lodigiani
| Atletico Lodigiani | Draw | Sarnese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 24% | 58% |
| Market | 18% | 24% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sarnese (rating 1422 vs 1539).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Lodigiani | Sarnese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 13/63/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Lodigiani 0–1–1 Sarnese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/25 Italy Serie D | Atletico Lodigiani | 1-1 | Sarnese |
| 24/11/24 Italy Serie D | Sarnese | 4-0 | Atletico Lodigiani |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Vibonese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | ASD Licata | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Nissa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Modica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 13 | Siracusa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | ASD CastrumFavara | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | ASD Ragusa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | Trapani | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Lodigiani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Unipomezia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | ASD Trastevere Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Certosa Vigor Campagnano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Cynthialbalonga Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Cassino Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Real Monterotondo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Budoni Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Nocerina Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Sarnese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Paganese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Polisportiva Ossese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | US Venafro Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Budoni Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Virtus Francavilla Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | FC Francavilla Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Fidelis Andria Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | AC Nardo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarnese?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sarnese win (58%). Probabilities: Atletico Lodigiani 18%, draw 24%, Sarnese 58%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarnese?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Atletico Lodigiani 0.94 · Sarnese 1.86), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarnese?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.