Prediction: Paganese vs Budoni
| Paganese | Draw | Budoni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paganese | Budoni | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/38/13% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 6 / 0 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Vibonese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | ASD Licata | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Nissa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Modica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 13 | Siracusa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | ASD CastrumFavara | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | ASD Ragusa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | Trapani | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paganese | Budoni |
|---|---|---|
| Sarnese | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Gelbison | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| USD Latte Dolce | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Paganese (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paganese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Sarnese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | ASD Trastevere Italy Serie D |
4-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/09 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Unipomezia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Martina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Citta di Fasano Italy Serie D |
0-3 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | SS Nola 1925 Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | FBC Gravina Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Budoni
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | US Venafro Italy Serie D |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Anzio Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | ASD Aranova Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Sarnese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Atletico Lodigiani Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Sarrabus Ogliastra Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paganese vs Budoni?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paganese win (60%). Probabilities: Paganese 60%, draw 23%, Budoni 17%.
How many goals are expected in Paganese vs Budoni?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Paganese 1.99 · Budoni 0.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Paganese vs Budoni?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.