Football · England Premier League 2 · 21/08, 20:00

Prediction: Everton U21 vs Liverpool U21

Team pages: Everton U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.21Total

Everton U211.95

Liverpool U212.26

1X2

33% 22% 45%

Everton U21 Draw Liverpool U21

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Everton U21 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDWDLL

Liverpool U21 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWLLD

Head-to-head

Everton U21 1–1–3 Liverpool U21 (5 last)

Liverpool U214-1Everton U21
Liverpool U210-2Everton U21
Liverpool U214-0Everton U21
Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
Liverpool U212-1Everton U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Everton U21 1464 · Liverpool U21 1545

	Everton U21	Draw	Liverpool U21
Our model	34%	21%	45%
Market	33%	22%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liverpool U21 (rating 1464 vs 1545).
H2H favours Liverpool U21: 3-1-1.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Everton U21	Liverpool U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.5	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	4.3 / 8.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X4.10

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.29 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +7’	2.70	4.10	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:18	2.49	3.94	2.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Everton U21 1–1–3 Liverpool U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/10/25 England Premier League 2	Liverpool U21	4-1 HT 3-1	Everton U21
26/10/24 England Premier League 2	Liverpool U21	0-2 HT 0-0	Everton U21
14/08/23 England Premier League 2	Liverpool U21	4-0 HT 0-0	Everton U21
16/04/23 England Premier League 2	Everton U21	1-1 HT 1-0	Liverpool U21
22/10/22 England Premier League 2	Liverpool U21	2-1 HT 1-1	Everton U21

Standings · England Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Arsenal U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Aston Villa U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Birmingham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Blackburn U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bournemouth U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brentford U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brighton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Burnley U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chelsea U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Crystal Palace U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Derby U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Everton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fulham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ipswich U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leeds U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leicester U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Liverpool U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Man City U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Man Utd U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Middlesbrough U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Newcastle U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Norwich U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nottm Forest U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Reading U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Southampton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stoke U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sunderland U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tottenham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	West Brom U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	West Ham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wolverhampton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Everton U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Stockport England EFL Trophy	0-3	3-6	7	2	L
21/07	Shrewsbury UK Friendlies	0-0	0-1	0	0	L
11/05	Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
01/05	Brentford U21 England Premier League 2 Play-Offs	1-1	4-2	5	5	W
24/04	Watford U21 England Premier League 2 Play-Offs	2-1	2-2	3	7	D
17/04	Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2	3-2	8-4	5	3	W
03/04	Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
22/03	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-5	2	4	L
18/03	Borussia Dortmund U21 Premier League International Cup	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
09/03	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	7	4	L

Liverpool U21

WWDWWWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/04	Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2	1-2	2-2	10	5	D
22/03	Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2	1-2	1-5	6	2	L
16/03	Man City U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
08/03	Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2	5-0	5-0	11	1	W
01/03	Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	4-2	6	2	W
20/02	Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
15/02	West Brom U21 England Premier League 2	3-2	4-3	9	3	W
08/02	Southampton U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
30/01	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	11	4	W
25/01	Leeds U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	2-1	18	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Everton U21 vs Liverpool U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Liverpool U21 win (45%). Probabilities: Everton U21 33%, draw 22%, Liverpool U21 45%.

How many goals are expected in Everton U21 vs Liverpool U21?

The model expects 4.21 goals (Everton U21 1.95 · Liverpool U21 2.26), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Everton U21 vs Liverpool U21?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.