Football · England Premier League 2 · 31/08, 20:00
Prediction: Newcastle U21 vs Fulham U21
Team pages: Newcastle U21 · Fulham U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
Newcastle U211.95
Fulham U211.99
1X2
Newcastle U21
Draw
Fulham U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Newcastle U21
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Fulham U21
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Newcastle U21
1–1
Fulham U21
(2 last)
- Newcastle U213-0Fulham U21
- Newcastle U211-3Fulham U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Newcastle U21 1484 · Fulham U21 1496
| Newcastle U21 | Draw | Fulham U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 22% | 39% |
| Market | 38% | 23% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newcastle U21 | Fulham U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 2.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newcastle U21 1–0–1 Fulham U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 England Premier League 2 | Newcastle U21 | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Fulham U21 |
| 13/04/24 England Premier League 2 | Newcastle U21 | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Fulham U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Liverpool U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Southampton U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Norwich U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Man Utd U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Man City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Derby U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Brentford U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Bournemouth U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Leeds U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Reading U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Aston Villa U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Ipswich U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Nottm Forest U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 | Arsenal U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | West Ham U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Everton U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 | Stoke U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Birmingham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Leicester U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | West Brom U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 | Chelsea U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Newcastle U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 | Blackburn U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newcastle U21 | Fulham U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Nottm Forest U21 | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Brighton U21 | 2-2 D | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Fulham U21 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newcastle U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 10/04 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 20/03 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 09/03 | Leicester U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/02 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 20/02 | Fulham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/02 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/02 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 5 | W |
Fulham U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 4-3 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/03 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/03 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/02 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 20/02 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/02 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/02 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newcastle U21 vs Fulham U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fulham U21 win (39%). Probabilities: Newcastle U21 38%, draw 23%, Fulham U21 39%.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle U21 vs Fulham U21?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Newcastle U21 1.95 · Fulham U21 1.99), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Newcastle U21 vs Fulham U21?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.