Football · England Premier League 2 · 21/08, 20:00
Prediction: Stoke U21 vs Brentford U21
Team pages: Stoke U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Stoke U211.78
Brentford U211.78
1X2
Stoke U21
Draw
Brentford U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stoke U21
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Brentford U21
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stoke U21 1455 · Brentford U21 1567
| Stoke U21 | Draw | Brentford U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| Market | 40% | 20% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brentford U21 (rating 1455 vs 1567).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stoke U21 | Brentford U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.3 | 2.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.5 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aston Villa U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Birmingham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Blackburn U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bournemouth U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentford U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brighton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burnley U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crystal Palace U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Derby U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Everton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ipswich U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leeds U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leicester U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Liverpool U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man City U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man Utd U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newcastle U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Norwich U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nottm Forest U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reading U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Southampton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stoke U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sunderland U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Brom U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wolverhampton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stoke U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Scunthorpe England National League Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | Leeds U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 21/07 | Chester UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | Peterborough U21 England Premier League 2 Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Southampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/03 | Fulham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/03 | Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/03 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 27/02 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
Brentford U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Wycombe Wanderers Development Team England U21 Premier League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 Play-Offs |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 Play-Offs |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 31/03 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/03 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/03 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/03 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stoke U21 vs Brentford U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stoke U21 win (39%). Probabilities: Stoke U21 39%, draw 22%, Brentford U21 39%.
How many goals are expected in Stoke U21 vs Brentford U21?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Stoke U21 1.78 · Brentford U21 1.78), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stoke U21 vs Brentford U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.