Football · England Premier League 2 · 21/08, 20:00

Prediction: West Ham U21 vs Southampton U21

Team pages: West Ham U21 · Southampton U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

West Ham U211.93

Southampton U211.73

1X2

43% 23% 34%

West Ham U21 Draw Southampton U21

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

West Ham U21 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWLDLWDW

Southampton U21 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLDLWL

Head-to-head

West Ham U21 1–1–0 Southampton U21 (2 last)

West Ham U215-1Southampton U21
West Ham U213-3Southampton U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · West Ham U21 1499 · Southampton U21 1492

	West Ham U21	Draw	Southampton U21
Our model	42%	23%	34%
Market	43%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	West Ham U21	Southampton U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.1	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.24 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:14 +4’	2.10	4.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:18	2.24	3.89	2.58

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · West Ham U21 1–1–0 Southampton U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/24 England Premier League 2	West Ham U21	5-1 HT 2-0	Southampton U21
22/09/23 England Premier League 2	West Ham U21	3-3 HT 2-1	Southampton U21

Standings · England Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Arsenal U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Aston Villa U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Birmingham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Blackburn U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bournemouth U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brentford U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brighton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Burnley U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chelsea U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Crystal Palace U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Derby U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Everton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fulham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ipswich U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leeds U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leicester U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Liverpool U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Man City U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Man Utd U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Middlesbrough U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Newcastle U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Norwich U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nottm Forest U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Reading U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Southampton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stoke U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sunderland U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tottenham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	West Brom U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	West Ham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wolverhampton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

West Ham U21

LLDWLDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Worthing England National League Cup	0-1	2-1	3	3	W
24/07	Colchester Club Friendly List	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
21/07	Ebbsfleet United UK Friendlies	2-1	2-1	2	0	W
04/05	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
24/04	Fulham U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
04/04	Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	2-3	7	3	L
20/03	Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	4-2	1	5	W
17/03	Boreham Wood England National League Cup	2-0	2-2	3	2	D
13/03	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-2	7	3	L
06/03	Derby U21 England Premier League 2	1-2	2-4	9	2	L

Southampton U21

WDWLWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Truro City England National League Cup	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
14/08	Blackburn U21 England U21 Premier League Cup	3-0	4-0	8	4	W
01/08	Sutton Utd UK Friendlies	1-2	2-3	0	2	L
24/04	Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	3-3	8	7	D
12/04	Stoke U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
20/03	Leeds U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/03	Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
06/03	Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
27/02	Everton U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	3	4	D
20/02	Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	2-1	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in West Ham U21 vs Southampton U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a West Ham U21 win (43%). Probabilities: West Ham U21 43%, draw 23%, Southampton U21 34%.

How many goals are expected in West Ham U21 vs Southampton U21?

The model expects 3.66 goals (West Ham U21 1.93 · Southampton U21 1.73), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in West Ham U21 vs Southampton U21?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.