Football · England Premier League 2 · 24/08, 20:00

Prediction: Man City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21

Team pages: Man City U21 · Wolverhampton U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.16Total

Man City U212.99

Wolverhampton U211.16

1X2

74% 15% 11%

Man City U21 Draw Wolverhampton U21

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Man City U21 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWL

Wolverhampton U21 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLDLLD

Head-to-head

Man City U21 3–1–1 Wolverhampton U21 (5 last)

Man City U216-0Wolverhampton U21
Wolverhampton U213-1Man City U21
Man City U213-3Wolverhampton U21
Man City U214-3Wolverhampton U21
Wolverhampton U211-3Man City U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Man City U21 1590 · Wolverhampton U21 1466

	Man City U21	Draw	Wolverhampton U21
Our model	74%	15%	11%
Market	74%	15%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 4.16 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man City U21 (rating 1590 vs 1466).
H2H favours Man City U21: 3-1-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Man City U21	Wolverhampton U21
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 0.9	1.1 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.6	0.9 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	6 / 8.8	1 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.22

X6.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.82

2 (+2)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Pinn 1.25
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	8.00 → 8.00	Pinn 8.29 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:50 +2’	1.22	6.00	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:49 +3’	1.25	5.71	8.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Man City U21 3–1–1 Wolverhampton U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/02/26 England Premier League 2	Man City U21	6-0 HT 2-0	Wolverhampton U21
24/01/25 England Premier League 2	Wolverhampton U21	3-1 HT 0-1	Man City U21
11/02/24 England Premier League 2	Man City U21	3-3 HT 0-2	Wolverhampton U21
29/04/23 England Premier League 2	Man City U21	4-3 HT 4-1	Wolverhampton U21
02/10/22 England Premier League 2	Wolverhampton U21	1-3 HT 1-2	Man City U21

Standings · England Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fulham U21	1	1	0	0	4	3	3
2	Brentford U21	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
3	Aston Villa U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	Bournemouth U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
5	Arsenal U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Crystal Palace U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Everton U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Liverpool U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	Southampton U21	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	West Ham U21	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	Birmingham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Blackburn U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Derby U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Ipswich U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Leeds U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Leicester U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Man City U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Man Utd U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Middlesbrough U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Newcastle U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Norwich U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Nottm Forest U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Reading U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Sunderland U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Tottenham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	West Brom U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Wolverhampton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Burnley U21	1	0	0	1	3	4	0
29	Stoke U21	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
30	Brighton U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
30	Chelsea U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Man City U21

WWWWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/05	Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2	1-3	3-4	9	1	L
01/05	Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	3-2	6	5	W
25/04	Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	3-1	8	4	W
13/04	Norwich U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	3-0	9	5	W
03/04	Derby U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	21	4	L
20/03	Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2	3-1	5-1	4	0	W
16/03	Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
06/03	Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2	4-0	4-0	6	5	W
27/02	Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	3-0	9	2	W
20/02	Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	6-0	9	2	W

Wolverhampton U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/04	Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
10/04	Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
20/03	Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2	0-3	0-4	3	5	L
14/03	Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
08/03	Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2	0-5	0-5	2	1	L
02/03	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
20/02	Man City U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-6	1	2	L
16/02	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
07/02	Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2	3-2	3-4	3	3	L
26/01	Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Man City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Man City U21 win (74%). Probabilities: Man City U21 74%, draw 15%, Wolverhampton U21 11%.

How many goals are expected in Man City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

The model expects 4.16 goals (Man City U21 2.99 · Wolverhampton U21 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Man City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.