Football · England Premier League 2 · 24/08, 20:00

Prediction: Newcastle U21 vs Tottenham U21

Team pages: Newcastle U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Newcastle U211.75

Tottenham U211.85

1X2

36% 23% 41%

Newcastle U21 Draw Tottenham U21

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Newcastle U21 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDDWLWD

Tottenham U21 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Newcastle U21 1–2 Tottenham U21 (3 last)

Newcastle U211-4Tottenham U21
Tottenham U210-1Newcastle U21
Tottenham U214-1Newcastle U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Newcastle U21 1486 · Tottenham U21 1499

	Newcastle U21	Draw	Tottenham U21
Our model	36%	24%	40%
Market	37%	22%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tottenham U21: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Newcastle U21	Tottenham U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X4.00

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.72 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:46 +6’	2.45	4.00	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:49 +2’	2.72	3.96	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Newcastle U21 1–0–2 Tottenham U21

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/10/25 England Premier League 2	Newcastle U21	1-4 HT 1-1	Tottenham U21
25/08/24 England Premier League 2	Tottenham U21	0-1 HT 0-1	Newcastle U21
19/08/23 England Premier League 2	Tottenham U21	4-1 HT 2-0	Newcastle U21

Standings · England Premier League 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fulham U21	1	1	0	0	4	3	3
2	Brentford U21	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
3	Aston Villa U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	Bournemouth U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
5	Arsenal U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Crystal Palace U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Everton U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Liverpool U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	Southampton U21	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	West Ham U21	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	Birmingham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Blackburn U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Derby U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Ipswich U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Leeds U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Leicester U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Man City U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Man Utd U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Middlesbrough U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Newcastle U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Norwich U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Nottm Forest U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Reading U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Sunderland U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Tottenham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	West Brom U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Wolverhampton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Burnley U21	1	0	0	1	3	4	0
29	Stoke U21	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
30	Brighton U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
30	Chelsea U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Newcastle U21	Tottenham U21
Wolverhampton U21	1-1 D	1-0 W
Blackburn U21	2-0 W	2-0 W
Leicester U21	2-2 D	1-0 W
Brighton U21	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tottenham U21 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Newcastle U21

DWLWDDWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/04	Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-1	13	3	D
10/04	Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	3-1	1	4	W
20/03	Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-3	1	5	L
13/03	Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	2-0	1	2	W
09/03	Leicester U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	2-2	2	2	D
27/02	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	2-2	4	7	D
20/02	Fulham U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	3-0	1	3	W
13/02	Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
06/02	Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2	3-2	4-3	4	5	W
16/01	Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	4	2	D

Tottenham U21

WLLLWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/05	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
01/05	Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	3-1	1	8	W
24/04	Leicester U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
17/04	Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
10/04	Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
04/04	West Ham U21 England Premier League 2	1-2	3-2	6	3	W
16/03	Leeds U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
06/03	Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	1-3	4	5	L
01/03	Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-4	2	2	L
20/02	Norwich U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	4-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Newcastle U21 vs Tottenham U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tottenham U21 win (41%). Probabilities: Newcastle U21 36%, draw 23%, Tottenham U21 41%.

How many goals are expected in Newcastle U21 vs Tottenham U21?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Newcastle U21 1.75 · Tottenham U21 1.85), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Newcastle U21 vs Tottenham U21?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.