Football · England Premier League 2 · 28/08, 20:00
Prediction: Nottm Forest U21 vs Man City U21
Team pages: Nottm Forest U21 · Man City U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Nottm Forest U211.31
Man City U211.92
1X2
Nottm Forest U21
Draw
Man City U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Nottm Forest U21
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Man City U21
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nottm Forest U21
0–3
Man City U21
(3 last)
- Man City U213-0Nottm Forest U21
- Nottm Forest U212-3Man City U21
- Man City U212-0Nottm Forest U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nottm Forest U21 1510 · Man City U21 1608
| Nottm Forest U21 | Draw | Man City U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man City U21 (rating 1510 vs 1608).
- H2H favours Man City U21: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nottm Forest U21 | Man City U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.3 | 5.5 / 8.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nottm Forest U21 0–0–3 Man City U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 England Premier League 2 | Man City U21 | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Nottm Forest U21 |
| 16/12/24 England Premier League 2 | Nottm Forest U21 | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Man City U21 |
| 04/03/24 England Premier League 2 | Man City U21 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Nottm Forest U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man Utd U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sunderland U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Man City U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Derby U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Tottenham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Brentford U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bournemouth U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Norwich U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Arsenal U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Liverpool U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Southampton U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | West Ham U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Birmingham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Blackburn U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Leicester U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Burnley U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | West Brom U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Stoke U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | Chelsea U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 | Middlesbrough U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Newcastle U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 | Reading U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 | Nottm Forest U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 | Wolverhampton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 | Ipswich U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nottm Forest U21 | Man City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool U21 | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Derby U21 | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nottm Forest U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/03 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 13/03 | Fulham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 06/03 | Southampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/02 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/02 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/02 | Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 07/02 | West Brom U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/01 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Man City U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 21 | 4 | L |
| 20/03 | Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 16/03 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/03 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 27/02 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nottm Forest U21 vs Man City U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Man City U21 win (51%). Probabilities: Nottm Forest U21 26%, draw 23%, Man City U21 51%.
How many goals are expected in Nottm Forest U21 vs Man City U21?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Nottm Forest U21 1.31 · Man City U21 1.92), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nottm Forest U21 vs Man City U21?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.