Football · England Premier League 2 · 28/08, 20:00

Prediction: Ipswich U21 vs Blackburn U21

Team pages: Ipswich U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Ipswich U212.14

Blackburn U211.84

1X2

45% 22% 33%

Ipswich U21 Draw Blackburn U21

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Ipswich U21 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWLLL

Blackburn U21 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Ipswich U21 0–1–0 Blackburn U21 (1 last)

Ipswich U212-2Blackburn U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ipswich U21 1475 · Blackburn U21 1421

	Ipswich U21	Draw	Blackburn U21
Our model	45%	22%	33%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ipswich U21 (rating 1475 vs 1421).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ipswich U21	Blackburn U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.3	1.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.3	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 4.5	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.27
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 3.03 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:58 +15’	2.00	4.00	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:24 +1’	1.89	4.27	3.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ipswich U21 0–1–0 Blackburn U21

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/26 England U21 Premier League Cup	Ipswich U21	2-2 HT 2-1	Blackburn U21

Standings · England Premier League 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Man Utd U21	1	1	0	0	5	0	3
2	Sunderland U21	1	1	0	0	5	1	3
3	Man City U21	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
4	Derby U21	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
4	Tottenham U21	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
6	Fulham U21	1	1	0	0	4	3	3
6	Leeds U21	1	1	0	0	4	3	3
8	Brentford U21	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
9	Aston Villa U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
9	Bournemouth U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
11	Norwich U21	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
12	Arsenal U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
12	Crystal Palace U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
12	Everton U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
12	Liverpool U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
16	Southampton U21	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
16	West Ham U21	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
18	Birmingham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Blackburn U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Leicester U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Burnley U21	1	0	0	1	3	4	0
21	West Brom U21	1	0	0	1	3	4	0
23	Stoke U21	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
24	Brighton U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
24	Chelsea U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
26	Middlesbrough U21	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
27	Newcastle U21	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
27	Reading U21	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
29	Nottm Forest U21	1	0	0	1	1	5	0
30	Wolverhampton U21	1	0	0	1	0	4	0
31	Ipswich U21	1	0	0	1	0	5	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ipswich U21	Blackburn U21
Birmingham U21	3-0 W	5-0 W
Burnley U21	0-0 D	2-0 W
West Brom U21	0-3 L	2-3 L
Crystal Palace U21	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Blackburn U21 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ipswich U21

WWWWLDWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2	0-4	0-5	2	5	L
24/04	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
17/04	Everton U21 England Premier League 2	2-3	4-8	4	3	L
10/04	Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
23/03	Burnley U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
06/03	West Brom U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
27/02	Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
13/02	Stoke U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	2-1	6	2	W
07/02	Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2	2-3	4-3	4	3	W
30/01	Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-1	6	6	W

Blackburn U21

LWLLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/04	Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
12/04	Burnley U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
06/04	Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
20/03	West Ham U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	2-4	4	5	L
13/03	Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
06/03	Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
23/02	West Brom U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	2-3	4	6	L
07/02	Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-5	0	2	L
26/01	Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	5-0	10	2	W
19/01	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-4	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ipswich U21 vs Blackburn U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ipswich U21 win (45%). Probabilities: Ipswich U21 45%, draw 22%, Blackburn U21 33%.

How many goals are expected in Ipswich U21 vs Blackburn U21?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Ipswich U21 2.14 · Blackburn U21 1.84), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ipswich U21 vs Blackburn U21?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.