Football · Italy Serie D · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: FC Forsempronese vs Termoli

Team pages: FC Forsempronese · Termoli

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

FC Forsempronese1.17

Termoli0.8

1X2

45% 30% 25%

FC Forsempronese Draw Termoli

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Forsempronese 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLWLDW

Termoli 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLWDLLW

Head-to-head

FC Forsempronese 3–2–1 Termoli (6 last)

Termoli0-0FC Forsempronese
FC Forsempronese1-0Termoli
Termoli0-1FC Forsempronese
FC Forsempronese0-0Termoli
Termoli3-0FC Forsempronese
FC Forsempronese1-0Termoli

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Forsempronese 1496 · Termoli 1467

	FC Forsempronese	Draw	Termoli
Our model	43%	33%	24%
Market	46%	28%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Forsempronese: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Forsempronese	Termoli
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	0.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.4	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.20

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:17 +5’	1.95	3.20	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Forsempronese 3–2–1 Termoli

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Italy Serie D	Termoli	0-0	FC Forsempronese
09/11/25 Italy Serie D	FC Forsempronese	1-0	Termoli
19/01/25 Italy Serie D	Termoli	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Forsempronese
22/09/24 Italy Serie D	FC Forsempronese	0-0 HT 0-0	Termoli
25/02/24 Italy Serie D	Termoli	3-0	FC Forsempronese
22/10/23 Italy Serie D	FC Forsempronese	1-0	Termoli

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	6	5	0	1	15	1	15
2	Vibonese	6	4	1	1	15	5	13
3	Sambiase	6	4	1	1	10	5	13
4	Calcio Avola 1949	6	4	0	2	9	10	12
5	Igea Virtus	6	3	2	1	14	11	11
6	ASD Licata	6	3	2	1	8	8	11
7	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	6	2	3	1	8	4	9
8	Milazzo	6	3	0	3	5	8	9
9	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	6	2	2	2	9	8	8
10	Nissa FC	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
11	Modica	6	2	1	3	6	5	7
12	Vigor Lamezia	6	1	2	3	7	13	5
13	Siracusa	6	3	2	1	8	5	4
14	Città di Gela	6	1	2	3	4	6	4
15	ASD CastrumFavara	6	1	1	4	5	7	4
16	ASD Ragusa	6	0	2	4	4	9	2
17	Trapani	6	2	0	4	3	10	1
18	Enna Calcio	6	0	1	5	0	15	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Forsempronese	Termoli
Vigor Senigallia	0-0 D	1-2 L
Lanciano	2-4 L	2-0 W
ASD Sporting Trestina	1-0 W	0-2 L
L'Aquila	0-4 L	0-1 L
Giulianova Calcio 1924	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Forsempronese (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Forsempronese

LDWLWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
20/09	Lanciano Italy Serie D	–	2-4	–	–	L
16/09	ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
12/09	L'Aquila Italy Serie D	0-1	0-4	8	5	L
06/09	Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
03/05	Recanatese Italy Serie D	–	0-2	–	–	L
26/04	Castelfidardo Italy Serie D	–	3-1	–	–	W
19/04	ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
12/04	U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L

Termoli

WLLDLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Lanciano Italy Serie D	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/09	ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
20/09	Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
16/09	Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	ASD Angelana 1930 Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	L'Aquila Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	L'Aquila Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/04	AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/04	Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/04	Sammaurese Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Forsempronese vs Termoli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Forsempronese win (45%). Probabilities: FC Forsempronese 45%, draw 30%, Termoli 25%.

How many goals are expected in FC Forsempronese vs Termoli?

The model expects 1.97 goals (FC Forsempronese 1.17 · Termoli 0.8), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Forsempronese vs Termoli?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.