Prediction: Maceratese vs Foligno
Team pages: Maceratese · Foligno
| Maceratese | Draw | Foligno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 32% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Foligno (rating 1480 vs 1543).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maceratese | Foligno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 0/83/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3 | 2.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.5 | 3 / 0 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Vibonese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | ASD Licata | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Nissa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Modica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 13 | Siracusa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | ASD CastrumFavara | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | ASD Ragusa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | Trapani | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maceratese | Foligno |
|---|---|---|
| Recanatese | 3-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Polisportiva Pietralunghese | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Maceratese (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maceratese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Recanatese Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Santegidiese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Polisportiva Pietralunghese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 13/09 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Teramo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Chieti Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 19/04 | Unipomezia Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Recanatese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Foligno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | ASD Angelana 1930 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | ASD K-Sport Montecchio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Recanatese Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Polisportiva Pietralunghese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Lanciano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Lanciano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | ASD Cannara Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maceratese vs Foligno?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Foligno win (36%). Probabilities: Maceratese 34%, draw 30%, Foligno 36%.
How many goals are expected in Maceratese vs Foligno?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Maceratese 1.1 · Foligno 1.13), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Maceratese vs Foligno?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.