Football · Italy Serie D · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: ASD Sporting Trestina vs Teramo

Team pages: ASD Sporting Trestina · Teramo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
ASD Sporting Trestina1.09
Teramo2.04
1X2
19% 23% 59%
ASD Sporting Trestina Draw Teramo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Sporting Trestina 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DDLDLDLLWL
Teramo 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WDDWWDWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Sporting Trestina 1430 · Teramo 1584
ASD Sporting TrestinaDrawTeramo
Our model19%23%58%
Market19%22%59%
Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Teramo (rating 1430 vs 1584).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD Sporting TrestinaTeramo
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.72.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.41.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/57/14%100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 32.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 03.7 / 0.1

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 6501 15115
2 Vibonese 6411 15513
3 Sambiase 6411 10513
4 Calcio Avola 1949 6402 91012
5 Igea Virtus 6321 141111
6 ASD Licata 6321 8811
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 6231 849
8 Milazzo 6303 589
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 6222 988
10 Nissa FC 6222 998
11 Modica 6213 657
12 Vigor Lamezia 6123 7135
13 Siracusa 6321 854
14 Città di Gela 6123 464
15 ASD CastrumFavara 6114 574
16 ASD Ragusa 6024 492
17 Trapani 6204 3101
18 Enna Calcio 6015 0151

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASD Sporting TrestinaTeramo
ASD Atletico Ascoli 0-1 L 1-1 D
Vigor Senigallia 2-5 L 6-4 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Teramo (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Sporting Trestina

DDLDLDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 U.S. Ancona
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
27/09 Termoli
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 22 W
20/09 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 35 L
16/09 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 35 L
12/09 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 14 D
06/09 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
2-2 2-5 64 L
03/05 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
– 4-4 –– D
26/04 Prato
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
19/04 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 45 D
12/04 Gavorrano
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 23 D

Teramo

WDDWWDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
3-2 6-4 54 W
27/09 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
20/09 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-2 73 W
16/09 ASD Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 82 W
12/09 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-2 49 D
06/09 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
– 3-0 –– W
17/05 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 13 W
03/05 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 36 D
26/04 Recanatese
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
19/04 San Marino Calcio
Italy Serie D
3-0 3-1 60 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Teramo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Teramo win (59%). Probabilities: ASD Sporting Trestina 19%, draw 23%, Teramo 59%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Teramo?

The model expects 3.13 goals (ASD Sporting Trestina 1.09 · Teramo 2.04), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Teramo?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.