Football · Italy Serie D · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: Cittadella Vis Modena vs USD Casatese

Team pages: Cittadella Vis Modena · USD Casatese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Cittadella Vis Modena1.22
USD Casatese1.15
1X2
37% 29% 34%
Cittadella Vis Modena Draw USD Casatese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cittadella Vis Modena 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLLWDWLW
USD Casatese 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDWDLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cittadella Vis Modena 1501 · USD Casatese 1540
Cittadella Vis ModenaDrawUSD Casatese
Our model36%31%33%
Market38%28%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cittadella Vis ModenaUSD Casatese
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.91.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 00.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/60/0%17/67/17%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.42.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 03.8 / 0.3

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 6501 15115
2 Vibonese 6411 15513
3 Sambiase 6411 10513
4 Calcio Avola 1949 6402 91012
5 Igea Virtus 6321 141111
6 ASD Licata 6321 8811
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 6231 849
8 Milazzo 6303 589
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 6222 988
10 Nissa FC 6222 998
11 Modica 6213 657
12 Vigor Lamezia 6123 7135
13 Siracusa 6321 854
14 Città di Gela 6123 464
15 ASD CastrumFavara 6114 574
16 ASD Ragusa 6024 492
17 Trapani 6204 3101
18 Enna Calcio 6015 0151

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCittadella Vis ModenaUSD Casatese
Correggese 0-1 L 3-1 W
ASD Varesina 2-3 L 4-2 W
Pistoiese 0-5 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: USD Casatese (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cittadella Vis Modena

DWWLLWDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Pontedera
Italy Serie D
– 3-0 –– W
27/09 Correggese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 113 L
20/09 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
16/09 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 64 D
12/09 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 73 W
06/09 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
03/05 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
– 0-5 –– L
26/04 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 26 W
19/04 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
12/04 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 12 D

USD Casatese

WWWDWDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-3 64 L
27/09 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
– 4-2 –– W
20/09 Correggese
Italy Serie D
0-0 3-1 54 W
16/09 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 37 L
12/09 Solbiatese Calcio 1911
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 52 D
06/09 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
17/05 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 36 D
03/05 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
– 3-0 –– W
19/04 Pavia
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cittadella Vis Modena vs USD Casatese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cittadella Vis Modena win (37%). Probabilities: Cittadella Vis Modena 37%, draw 29%, USD Casatese 34%.

How many goals are expected in Cittadella Vis Modena vs USD Casatese?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Cittadella Vis Modena 1.22 · USD Casatese 1.15), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cittadella Vis Modena vs USD Casatese?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.