Prediction: Pavia vs ASD Varesina
Team pages: Pavia · ASD Varesina
- Pavia1-1ASD Varesina
- ASD Varesina2-2Pavia
- ASD Varesina2-2Pavia
- Pavia2-0ASD Varesina
| Pavia | Draw | ASD Varesina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Market | 45% | 29% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pavia | ASD Varesina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/43/43% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.1 | 3.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pavia 1–3–0 ASD Varesina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Italy Serie D | Pavia | 1-1 HT 1-0 | ASD Varesina |
| 26/10/25 Italy Serie D | ASD Varesina | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Pavia |
| 04/02/18 Italy Serie D | ASD Varesina | 2-2 | Pavia |
| 01/10/17 Italy Serie D | Pavia | 2-0 | ASD Varesina |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Vibonese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | ASD Licata | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Nissa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Modica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 13 | Siracusa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | ASD CastrumFavara | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | ASD Ragusa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | Trapani | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pavia | ASD Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Correggese | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| A.C.D. Sant'Angelo | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| AC Chievo Verona | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| USD Casatese | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Pavia (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Arconatese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | Solbiatese Calcio 1911 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/04 | AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
ASD Varesina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Pro Patria Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Pistoiese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | US Breno Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavia vs ASD Varesina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pavia win (45%). Probabilities: Pavia 45%, draw 29%, ASD Varesina 26%.
How many goals are expected in Pavia vs ASD Varesina?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Pavia 1.36 · ASD Varesina 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pavia vs ASD Varesina?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.