Prediction: Pistoiese vs Correggese
Team pages: Pistoiese · Correggese
- Correggese0-3Pistoiese
- Correggese0-2Pistoiese
- Pistoiese1-1Correggese
- Correggese3-2Pistoiese
- Pistoiese1-0Correggese
| Pistoiese | Draw | Correggese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 17% | 5% |
| Market | 79% | 15% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pistoiese (rating 1593 vs 1508).
- H2H favours Pistoiese: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pistoiese | Correggese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 29/43/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6 | 2.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.5 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pistoiese 3–1–1 Correggese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Italy Serie D | Correggese | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Pistoiese |
| 03/12/25 Italy Serie D Cup | Correggese | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Pistoiese |
| 19/10/25 Italy Serie D | Pistoiese | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Correggese |
| 07/05/23 Italy Serie D | Correggese | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Pistoiese |
| 21/12/22 Italy Serie D | Pistoiese | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Correggese |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Vibonese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | ASD Licata | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Nissa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Modica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 13 | Siracusa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | ASD CastrumFavara | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | ASD Ragusa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | Trapani | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pistoiese | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| USD Casatese | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| A.C.D. Sant'Angelo | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| ASD Varesina | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Arconatese | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| A.C. Crema 1908 | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Pro Sesto | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Pistoiese (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pistoiese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Arconatese Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Solbiatese Calcio 1911 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Desenzano Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Tropical Coriano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Pro Sesto Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Correggese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Pavia Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Arconatese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Pro Sesto Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | CS Trevigliese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pistoiese vs Correggese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pistoiese win (78%). Probabilities: Pistoiese 78%, draw 16%, Correggese 6%.
How many goals are expected in Pistoiese vs Correggese?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Pistoiese 2.18 · Correggese 0.41), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Pistoiese vs Correggese?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.