Football · Italy Serie D · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: AC Milan U23 vs Rovato Vertovese SSD

Team pages: AC Milan U23 · Rovato Vertovese SSD

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
AC Milan U232.08
Rovato Vertovese SSD1.14
1X2
58% 23% 19%
AC Milan U23 Draw Rovato Vertovese SSD
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Milan U23 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
DLWLWWWLWW
Rovato Vertovese SSD 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DLWLLLDDDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Milan U23 1532 · Rovato Vertovese SSD 1430
AC Milan U23DrawRovato Vertovese SSD
Our model58%23%19%
Market58%24%19%
Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Milan U23 (rating 1532 vs 1430).
  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC Milan U23Rovato Vertovese SSD
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.21.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.30 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/63/13%0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.11 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 02.7 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 6501 15115
2 Vibonese 6411 15513
3 Sambiase 6411 10513
4 Calcio Avola 1949 6402 91012
5 Igea Virtus 6321 141111
6 ASD Licata 6321 8811
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 6231 849
8 Milazzo 6303 589
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 6222 988
10 Nissa FC 6222 998
11 Modica 6213 657
12 Vigor Lamezia 6123 7135
13 Siracusa 6321 854
14 Città di Gela 6123 464
15 ASD CastrumFavara 6114 574
16 ASD Ragusa 6024 492
17 Trapani 6204 3101
18 Enna Calcio 6015 0151

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Milan U23

DLWLWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-1 26 W
16/09 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 63 W
12/09 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
06/09 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
0-1 4-3 33 W
03/05 AVC Vogherese 1919
Italy Serie D
5-0 10-1 122 W
26/04 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 54 W
19/04 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 63 L
12/04 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
– 4-0 –– W
08/04 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 83 L
02/04 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 73 D

Rovato Vertovese SSD

DLWLLLDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 80 L
27/09 Tritium
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
20/09 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
16/09 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
12/09 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
– 3-4 –– L
06/09 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
03/05 Imolese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
26/04 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
19/04 ASD Sasso Marconi
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 46 L
12/04 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 62 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Milan U23 vs Rovato Vertovese SSD?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Milan U23 win (58%). Probabilities: AC Milan U23 58%, draw 23%, Rovato Vertovese SSD 19%.

How many goals are expected in AC Milan U23 vs Rovato Vertovese SSD?

The model expects 3.23 goals (AC Milan U23 2.08 · Rovato Vertovese SSD 1.14), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Milan U23 vs Rovato Vertovese SSD?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.