Football · England Premier League 2 · 24/08, 20:00

Prediction: Man Utd U21 vs Ipswich U21

Team pages: Ipswich U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

Man Utd U212.36

Ipswich U211.35

1X2

59% 20% 20%

Man Utd U21 Draw Ipswich U21

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Man Utd U21 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLWWWL

Ipswich U21 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLDWLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Man Utd U21 1529 · Ipswich U21 1481

	Man Utd U21	Draw	Ipswich U21
Our model	59%	21%	20%
Market	60%	20%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man Utd U21 (rating 1529 vs 1481).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Man Utd U21	Ipswich U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	2.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.6	3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.65 ★
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.92
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:46 +5’	1.50	4.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:49 +2’	1.65	4.92	3.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · England Premier League 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fulham U21	1	1	0	0	4	3	3
2	Brentford U21	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
3	Aston Villa U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	Bournemouth U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
5	Arsenal U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Crystal Palace U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Everton U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Liverpool U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	Southampton U21	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	West Ham U21	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	Birmingham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Blackburn U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Derby U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Ipswich U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Leeds U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Leicester U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Man City U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Man Utd U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Middlesbrough U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Newcastle U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Norwich U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Nottm Forest U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Reading U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Sunderland U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Tottenham U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	West Brom U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Wolverhampton U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Burnley U21	1	0	0	1	3	4	0
29	Stoke U21	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
30	Brighton U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
30	Chelsea U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Man Utd U21	Ipswich U21
Brighton U21	0-1 L	1-2 L
Crystal Palace U21	2-0 W	2-1 W
Birmingham U21	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Man Utd U21

LDWWWLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
08/05	Man City U21 England Premier League 2	3-1	4-3	7	1	W
04/05	Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
26/04	Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	3-2	10	5	W
10/04	Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	1-3	4	4	L
03/04	Leeds U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	2-1	10	3	W
20/03	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
13/03	Southampton U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	2-1	9	2	W
06/03	Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
02/03	Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-2	5	4	L

Ipswich U21

LWWWWLDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/04	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
17/04	Everton U21 England Premier League 2	2-3	4-8	4	3	L
10/04	Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
23/03	Burnley U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
06/03	West Brom U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
27/02	Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
13/02	Stoke U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	2-1	6	2	W
07/02	Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2	2-3	4-3	4	3	W
30/01	Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
24/01	Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2	1-2	4-5	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Man Utd U21 vs Ipswich U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Man Utd U21 win (59%). Probabilities: Man Utd U21 59%, draw 20%, Ipswich U21 20%.

How many goals are expected in Man Utd U21 vs Ipswich U21?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Man Utd U21 2.36 · Ipswich U21 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Man Utd U21 vs Ipswich U21?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.