Football · Spain Tercera Group 11 · 18/10, 12:00

Prediction: CD Cardassar vs Mercadal

Team pages: CD Cardassar · Mercadal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

CD Cardassar2.12

Mercadal1.13

1X2

59% 22% 19%

CD Cardassar Draw Mercadal

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Cardassar 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWLWW

Mercadal 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWLDLL

Head-to-head

CD Cardassar 1–1 Mercadal (2 last)

Mercadal2-1CD Cardassar
CD Cardassar2-1Mercadal

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Cardassar (rating 1551 vs 1457).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Cardassar	Mercadal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.3 / 2.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3	1.3 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.81

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.93 → 1.93	Pinn 1.93
X	3.31 → 3.31	Pinn 3.31
2	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
10:01 +2’	1.93	3.31	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cardassar 1–0–1 Mercadal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 11	Mercadal	2-1	CD Cardassar
16/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 11	CD Cardassar	2-1	Mercadal

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 11

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	6	5	1	0	11	2	16
2	Manacor	6	5	0	1	15	7	15
3	Platges de Calvia	7	5	0	2	12	5	15
4	CD Cardassar	6	4	1	1	13	6	13
5	CE Constancia	6	4	1	1	10	3	13
6	Santanyi	6	3	3	0	8	3	12
7	Formentera	6	3	2	1	9	4	11
8	PE Sant Jordi	6	3	2	1	10	7	11
9	Llosetense	6	3	1	2	8	6	10
10	Alcudia	6	3	0	3	11	11	9
11	UE Porreres	6	3	0	3	7	7	9
12	Binissalem	6	2	0	4	8	11	6
13	Mercadal	6	1	2	3	6	8	5
14	CE Andratx	7	1	2	4	6	10	5
15	CD Migjorn	7	1	1	5	6	15	4
16	UD Arenal	6	1	0	5	5	14	3
17	CE Sineu	7	0	1	6	3	16	1
18	Inter Ibiza	6	0	1	5	2	15	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Cardassar	Mercadal
Alcudia	6-2 W	0-1 L
Platges de Calvia	0-1 L	1-0 W
CE Constancia	1-0 W	1-3 L
Santanyi	0-0 D	1-1 D
Formentera	1-3 L	1-1 D
Inter Ibiza	1-0 W	2-0 W
Llosetense	1-1 D	1-6 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Cardassar

DWLWDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CD Migjorn Spain Tercera Group 11	–	3-2	–	–	W
04/10	Alcudia Spain Tercera Group 11	–	6-2	–	–	W
26/09	Platges de Calvia Spain Tercera Group 11	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	CE Constancia Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
12/09	Binissalem Spain Tercera Group 11	3-1	3-1	5	5	W
06/09	Santanyi Spain Tercera Group 11	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/05	Platges de Calvia Spain Tercera Group 11	–	3-1	–	–	W
03/05	Formentera Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-3	–	–	L
26/04	Inter Ibiza Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	Llosetense Spain Tercera Group 11	0-1	1-1	2	6	D

Mercadal

WLLWDWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Alcudia Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
03/10	CE Constancia Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-3	–	–	L
26/09	Santanyi Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	UD Arenal Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Inter Ibiza Spain Tercera Group 11	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
05/09	Formentera Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Alcudia Spain Tercera Group 11	–	3-2	–	–	W
03/05	Mallorca B Spain Tercera Group 11	0-6	0-7	3	0	L
29/04	Llosetense Spain Tercera Group 11	0-4	1-6	1	2	L
26/04	Platges de Calvia Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cardassar vs Mercadal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Cardassar win (59%). Probabilities: CD Cardassar 59%, draw 22%, Mercadal 19%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cardassar vs Mercadal?

The model expects 3.25 goals (CD Cardassar 2.12 · Mercadal 1.13), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cardassar vs Mercadal?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.