Football · Spain Tercera Group 11 · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Inter Ibiza vs Binissalem

Team pages: Inter Ibiza · Binissalem

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

Inter Ibiza1.16

Binissalem1.05

1X2

37% 31% 32%

Inter Ibiza Draw Binissalem

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Inter Ibiza 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLDL

Binissalem 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLDWLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Inter Ibiza 2–1–1 Binissalem (4 last)

Inter Ibiza3-0Binissalem
Binissalem0-0Inter Ibiza
Inter Ibiza1-0Binissalem
Binissalem1-0Inter Ibiza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Ibiza 1416 · Binissalem 1465

	Inter Ibiza	Draw	Binissalem
Our model	37%	32%	31%
Market	38%	30%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Binissalem (rating 1416 vs 1465).
H2H favours Inter Ibiza: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inter Ibiza	Binissalem
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 2.1	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.8	0.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 5	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:37 +10’	2.38	3.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Ibiza 2–1–1 Binissalem

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 11	Inter Ibiza	3-0	Binissalem
22/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 11	Binissalem	0-0 HT 0-0	Inter Ibiza
09/02/22 Spain Tercera Group 11	Inter Ibiza	1-0	Binissalem
04/09/21 Spain Tercera Group 11	Binissalem	1-0	Inter Ibiza

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 11

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CE Constancia	7	5	1	1	13	3	16
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	6	5	1	0	11	2	16
3	Manacor	7	5	1	1	16	8	16
4	Platges de Calvia	7	5	0	2	12	5	15
5	CD Cardassar	7	4	1	2	14	8	13
6	Santanyi	6	3	3	0	8	3	12
7	Formentera	6	3	2	1	9	4	11
8	PE Sant Jordi	6	3	2	1	10	7	11
9	Llosetense	7	3	1	3	8	9	10
10	Alcudia	6	3	0	3	11	11	9
11	UE Porreres	6	3	0	3	7	7	9
12	Mercadal	7	2	2	3	8	9	8
13	Binissalem	6	2	0	4	8	11	6
14	CE Andratx	7	1	2	4	6	10	5
15	UD Arenal	7	1	1	5	6	15	4
16	CD Migjorn	7	1	1	5	6	15	4
17	CE Sineu	7	0	1	6	3	16	1
18	Inter Ibiza	6	0	1	5	2	15	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inter Ibiza	Binissalem
Alcudia	0-5 L	1-1 D
CD Cardassar	0-1 L	1-3 L
Manacor	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Ibiza (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Ibiza

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	0-3	5	6	L
04/10	PE Sant Jordi Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
26/09	Llosetense Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-3	–	–	L
20/09	UE Porreres Spain Tercera Group 11	0-2	1-2	2	6	L
12/09	Mercadal Spain Tercera Group 11	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
06/09	Alcudia Spain Tercera Group 11	–	0-5	–	–	L
10/05	CE Constancia Spain Tercera Group 11	0-1	0-3	9	5	L
03/05	Llosetense Spain Tercera Group 11	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/04	CD Cardassar Spain Tercera Group 11	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/04	Manacor Spain Tercera Group 11	–	3-1	–	–	W

Binissalem

DLDWLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	CE Andratx Spain Tercera Group 11	–	3-2	–	–	W
03/10	CE Sineu Spain Tercera Group 11	–	3-0	–	–	W
27/09	CD Migjorn Spain Tercera Group 11	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/09	Platges de Calvia Spain Tercera Group 11	0-2	0-3	4	8	L
12/09	CD Cardassar Spain Tercera Group 11	1-3	1-3	8	5	L
05/09	Manacor Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	CD Son Cladera Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
03/05	Alcudia Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	Mallorca B Spain Tercera Group 11	0-2	0-2	8	5	L
19/04	Platges de Calvia Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	0-0	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Ibiza vs Binissalem?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Ibiza win (37%). Probabilities: Inter Ibiza 37%, draw 31%, Binissalem 32%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Ibiza vs Binissalem?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Inter Ibiza 1.16 · Binissalem 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Ibiza vs Binissalem?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.