Football · Latvia Cup · 17/08, 17:00

Prediction: FK Auda vs SC Grobinas

Team pages: FK Auda · SC Grobinas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
FK Auda1.95
SC Grobinas0.93
1X2
61% 22% 17%
FK Auda Draw SC Grobinas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Auda 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DLDWWWWWWL
SC Grobinas 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLDLWWLDLL
Head-to-head
FK Auda 4–2–0 SC Grobinas (6 last)
  • SC Grobinas0-0FK Auda
  • FK Auda7-0SC Grobinas
  • SC Grobinas0-2FK Auda
  • SC Grobinas2-2FK Auda
  • FK Auda1-0SC Grobinas
  • FK Auda1-0SC Grobinas
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Auda 1568 · SC Grobinas 1446
FK AudaDrawSC Grobinas
Our model60%23%16%
Market61%22%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Auda (rating 1568 vs 1446).
  • H2H favours FK Auda: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK AudaSC Grobinas
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 10.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 6.62 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.13.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Auda 420 SC Grobinas

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/06/26
Latvia Virsliga
SC Grobinas0-0
HT 0-0
FK Auda
07/05/26
Latvia Virsliga
FK Auda7-0
HT 3-0
SC Grobinas
14/03/26
Latvia Virsliga
SC Grobinas0-2
HT 0-1
FK Auda
09/11/25
Latvia Virsliga
SC Grobinas2-2
HT 0-2
FK Auda
24/08/25
Latvia Virsliga
FK Auda1-0
HT 0-0
SC Grobinas
06/08/25
Latvia Cup
FK Auda1-0
HT 0-0
SC Grobinas

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK AudaSC Grobinas
FK Jelgava 1-0 W 0-2 L
BFC Daugavpils 1-0 W 0-1 L
FK Liepaja 1-0 W 1-0 W
RFS 1-1 D 1-6 L
Riga FC 0-2 L 0-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Auda (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Auda

DLDWWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 FC Dinamo City
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-2 0-4 84 L
09/08 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 1-0 69 W
04/08 FC Dinamo City
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 1-0 117 W
30/07 FCSB
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-0 4-1 45 W
26/07 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 1-0 64 W
23/07 FCSB
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
2-1 3-2 25 W
11/07 FK Liepaja
Latvia Cup
0-0 1-0 45 W
04/07 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 1-1 44 D
29/06 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
0-2 0-2 64 L
25/06 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-0 154 D

SC Grobinas

WLDLWWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
0-4 1-6 12 L
02/08 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-4 31 L
27/07 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
0-2 2-2 74 D
20/07 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-2 44 L
12/07 Marupes SC
Latvia Cup
0-0 1-0 122 W
05/07 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 3-1 74 W
29/06 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 0-2 24 L
25/06 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-0 44 D
20/06 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-1 35 L
16/06 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 1-0 25 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Auda vs SC Grobinas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Auda win (61%). Probabilities: FK Auda 61%, draw 22%, SC Grobinas 17%.

How many goals are expected in FK Auda vs SC Grobinas?

The model expects 2.88 goals (FK Auda 1.95 · SC Grobinas 0.93), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Auda vs SC Grobinas?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.