Football · Latvia Cup · 16/08, 15:00
Prediction: Riga FC vs Metta/LU
Team pages: Riga FC · Metta/LU
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
Riga FC2.91
Metta/LU0.92
1X2
Riga FC
Draw
Metta/LU
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Riga FC
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Metta/LU
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Riga FC
5–1–0
Metta/LU
(6 last)
- Metta/LU0-1Riga FC
- Riga FC3-2Metta/LU
- Metta/LU0-3Riga FC
- Riga FC1-1Metta/LU
- Riga FC4-0Metta/LU
- Metta/LU2-4Riga FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riga FC 1586 · Metta/LU 1613
| Riga FC | Draw | Metta/LU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 77% | 15% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.83 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Riga FC: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 17.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Riga FC | Metta/LU | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 5.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 80/0/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.9 | 4.9 / 10.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Riga FC 5–1–0 Metta/LU
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 Latvia Virsliga | Metta/LU | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Riga FC |
| 27/07/25 Latvia Virsliga | Riga FC | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Metta/LU |
| 24/05/25 Latvia Virsliga | Metta/LU | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Riga FC |
| 08/04/25 Latvia Virsliga | Riga FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Metta/LU |
| 03/11/24 Latvia Virsliga | Riga FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Metta/LU |
| 10/08/24 Latvia Virsliga | Metta/LU | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Riga FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riga FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Gyori ETO UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
4-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 06/08 | Gyori ETO UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/07 | Vardar Skopje UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 22/07 | Vardar Skopje UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | Ararat Armenia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 10/07 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia Cup |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 07/07 | Ararat Armenia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Metta/LU
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
9-1 | 12-1 | 16 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
6-0 | 9-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/07 | SK Speks Latvia Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Kekava/Auda Latvia Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
5-0 | 7-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | FK Lielupe Latvia Cup |
4-0 | 6-0 | 19 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riga FC vs Metta/LU?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Riga FC win (77%). Probabilities: Riga FC 77%, draw 15%, Metta/LU 8%.
How many goals are expected in Riga FC vs Metta/LU?
The model expects 3.83 goals (Riga FC 2.91 · Metta/LU 0.92), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Riga FC vs Metta/LU?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.