Prediction: SK Super Nova vs RFS
Team pages: SK Super Nova · RFS
- SK Super Nova1-2RFS
- RFS2-0SK Super Nova
- RFS5-2SK Super Nova
- SK Super Nova1-3RFS
- RFS4-1SK Super Nova
- RFS2-1SK Super Nova
| SK Super Nova | Draw | RFS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| Market | 9% | 16% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RFS (rating 1437 vs 1584).
- H2H favours RFS: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Super Nova | RFS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 3.8 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Super Nova 0–0–6 RFS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 Latvia Virsliga | SK Super Nova | 1-2 HT 1-1 | RFS |
| 18/04/26 Latvia Virsliga | RFS | 2-0 HT 0-0 | SK Super Nova |
| 14/01/26 Europe Friendlies | RFS | 5-2 HT 1-1 | SK Super Nova |
| 02/11/25 Latvia Virsliga | SK Super Nova | 1-3 HT 0-1 | RFS |
| 10/08/25 Latvia Virsliga | RFS | 4-1 HT 3-0 | SK Super Nova |
| 14/06/25 Latvia Virsliga | RFS | 2-1 HT 1-1 | SK Super Nova |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SK Super Nova | RFS |
|---|---|---|
| SC Grobinas | 2-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Tukums 2000 | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Jelgava | 1-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: RFS (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Super Nova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/07 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/06 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 12/06 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
RFS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | FK Jablonec UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
4-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/08 | FK Jablonec UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 30/07 | IF Vestri UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 23/07 | IF Vestri UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
3-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 20/07 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | Glentoran UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | FK Jelgava Latvia Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Glentoran UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Super Nova vs RFS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an RFS win (75%). Probabilities: SK Super Nova 9%, draw 16%, RFS 75%.
How many goals are expected in SK Super Nova vs RFS?
The model expects 3.44 goals (SK Super Nova 0.83 · RFS 2.61), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Super Nova vs RFS?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.