Football · AFC Challenge League · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: FC Ulaanbaatar vs Hang Yuen
Team pages: FC Ulaanbaatar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
FC Ulaanbaatar1.85
Hang Yuen1.14
1X2
FC Ulaanbaatar
Draw
Hang Yuen
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Ulaanbaatar
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Hang Yuen
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Ulaanbaatar 1550 · Hang Yuen 1517
| FC Ulaanbaatar | Draw | Hang Yuen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Ulaanbaatar | Hang Yuen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 2.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Ulaanbaatar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 21/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
6-0 | 7-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
Hang Yuen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 08/03 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/03 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Ulaanbaatar vs Hang Yuen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ulaanbaatar win (53%). Probabilities: FC Ulaanbaatar 53%, draw 25%, Hang Yuen 22%.
How many goals are expected in FC Ulaanbaatar vs Hang Yuen?
The model expects 2.99 goals (FC Ulaanbaatar 1.85 · Hang Yuen 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Ulaanbaatar vs Hang Yuen?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.