Football · AFC Challenge League · 11/08, 11:00
Prediction: Fortis FC vs Muras United FC
Team pages: Muras United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Fortis FC0.59
Muras United FC2.23
1X2
Fortis FC
Draw
Muras United FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Fortis FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Muras United FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fortis FC 1540 · Muras United FC 1571
| Fortis FC | Draw | Muras United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 18% | 74% |
| Market | 9% | 15% | 76% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortis FC | Muras United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.8 | 2.9 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortis FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | PWD Sports Club Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Brothers Union Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Fakirapool Young Men's Club Bangladesh Premier League |
3-1 | 7-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Dhaka Abahani Bangladesh Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Arambagh KS Bangladesh Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Bangladesh Police Club Bangladesh Federation Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 14/03 | Bashundhara Kings Bangladesh Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 07/03 | Mohammedan Dhaka Bangladesh Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Muras United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | FC Asia Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | FC Bishkek City Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/07 | FC Bishkek City Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Ilbirs Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | Al Kuwait SC AFC Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Al Ansar Beirut AFC Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/04 | FC Dordoi Bishkek Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/03 | FK Kyrgyzaltyn Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 14/03 | FC Abdysh-Ata Kant Kyrgyzstan Top Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/10 | Al Arabi SC AFC Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortis FC vs Muras United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Muras United FC win (75%). Probabilities: Fortis FC 8%, draw 17%, Muras United FC 75%.
How many goals are expected in Fortis FC vs Muras United FC?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Fortis FC 0.59 · Muras United FC 2.23), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortis FC vs Muras United FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.