Football · Spain Tercera Group 12 · 13/09, 13:00
Prediction: CD Marino vs Panaderia Pulido
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
CD Marino1.22
Panaderia Pulido1.09
1X2
CD Marino
Draw
Panaderia Pulido
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Marino
0-7-3 (W-D-L)
Panaderia Pulido
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Marino
1–2–3
Panaderia Pulido
(6 last)
- CD Marino0-1Panaderia Pulido
- Panaderia Pulido2-2CD Marino
- Panaderia Pulido3-0CD Marino
- CD Marino1-1Panaderia Pulido
- CD Marino2-1Panaderia Pulido
- Panaderia Pulido2-1CD Marino
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Marino 1416 · Panaderia Pulido 1488
| CD Marino | Draw | Panaderia Pulido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panaderia Pulido (rating 1416 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Panaderia Pulido: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Marino | Panaderia Pulido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/63/13% | 25/75/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.4 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 6.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Marino 1–2–3 Panaderia Pulido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 12 | CD Marino | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Panaderia Pulido |
| 18/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 12 | Panaderia Pulido | 2-2 | CD Marino |
| 15/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 12 | Panaderia Pulido | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CD Marino |
| 03/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 12 | CD Marino | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Panaderia Pulido |
| 05/05/24 Spain Tercera Group 12 | CD Marino | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Panaderia Pulido |
| 13/01/24 Spain Tercera Group 12 | Panaderia Pulido | 2-1 HT 2-0 | CD Marino |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 12
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Estrella CF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Las Palmas C | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Real Union de Tenerife | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | CF San Bartolome | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | UD Anaza | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Villa Sta Brigida | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Mensajero | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | CD Arcangel San Miguel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Tenerife C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Panaderia Pulido | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Lanzarote | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Union Sur Yaiza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Llanos Aridane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | SD Villaverde Norte | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | UD Playas de Sotavento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | CD Laguna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Marino | Panaderia Pulido |
|---|---|---|
| Union Sur Yaiza | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| CD Arcangel San Miguel | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Atletico Paso | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| UD Tamaraceite | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Tenisca | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Union de Tenerife | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| CD Herbania | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Las Palmas C | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 7 D 1 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Marino (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Marino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Arucas CF Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Villa Sta Brigida Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Union Sur Yaiza Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | CD Arcangel San Miguel Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | CD Atletico Paso Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 08/04 | UD Tamaraceite Spain Tercera Group 12 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 02/04 | Tenisca Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/03 | Real Union de Tenerife Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 15/03 | CD Herbania Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/03 | Las Palmas C Spain Tercera Group 12 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Panaderia Pulido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | UD San Fernando Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Union Sur Yaiza Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | CD Arcangel San Miguel Spain Tercera Group 12 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | CD Atletico Paso Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/04 | Las Palmas C Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Tenisca Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Real Union de Tenerife Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | UD Tamaraceite Spain Tercera Group 12 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/03 | CD Herbania Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 10 | L |
| 14/03 | Lanzarote Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Marino vs Panaderia Pulido?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Marino win (39%). Probabilities: CD Marino 39%, draw 29%, Panaderia Pulido 32%.
How many goals are expected in CD Marino vs Panaderia Pulido?
The model expects 2.3 goals (CD Marino 1.22 · Panaderia Pulido 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Marino vs Panaderia Pulido?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.