Football · Spain Tercera Group 12 · 13/09, 13:00
Prediction: Mensajero vs Tenerife C
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Mensajero1.59
Tenerife C0.55
1X2
Mensajero
Draw
Tenerife C
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Mensajero
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Tenerife C
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mensajero
0–2–1
Tenerife C
(3 last)
- Mensajero1-1Tenerife C
- Tenerife C1-0Mensajero
- Tenerife C1-1Mensajero
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mensajero (rating 1529 vs 1428).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mensajero | Tenerife C | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 14/14/71% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 3 | 1.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mensajero 0–2–1 Tenerife C
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 12 | Mensajero | 1-1 | Tenerife C |
| 13/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 12 | Tenerife C | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mensajero |
| 08/04/25 Spain Regional Cup | Tenerife C | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Mensajero |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 12
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Estrella CF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Las Palmas C | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Real Union de Tenerife | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | CF San Bartolome | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | UD Anaza | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Villa Sta Brigida | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Mensajero | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | CD Arcangel San Miguel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Tenerife C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Panaderia Pulido | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Lanzarote | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Union Sur Yaiza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Llanos Aridane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | SD Villaverde Norte | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | UD Playas de Sotavento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | CD Laguna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mensajero | Tenerife C |
|---|---|---|
| UD Tamaraceite | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| UD San Fernando | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Arucas CF | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Villa Sta Brigida | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Union Sur Yaiza | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Arcangel San Miguel | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Real Union de Tenerife | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| CD Atletico Paso | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Tenisca | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 4 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Mensajero (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mensajero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | UD Tamaraceite Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | UD Tamaraceite Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | UD San Fernando Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Arucas CF Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Villa Sta Brigida Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Union Sur Yaiza Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | CD Arcangel San Miguel Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/04 | Real Union de Tenerife Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 02/04 | CD Atletico Paso Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/03 | Tenisca Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Tenerife C
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | CF San Bartolome Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | UD San Fernando Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Arucas CF Spain Tercera Group 12 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Villa Sta Brigida Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Union Sur Yaiza Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | CD Arcangel San Miguel Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 28/03 | CD Atletico Paso Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Tenisca Spain Tercera Group 12 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/03 | Real Union de Tenerife Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 07/03 | UD Tamaraceite Spain Tercera Group 12 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mensajero vs Tenerife C?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mensajero win (62%). Probabilities: Mensajero 62%, draw 27%, Tenerife C 12%.
How many goals are expected in Mensajero vs Tenerife C?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Mensajero 1.59 · Tenerife C 0.55), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mensajero vs Tenerife C?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.