Football · Argentina Nacional B · 15/08, 22:00
Prediction: CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Chacarita Juniors
Team pages: CA Estudiantes Caseros · Chacarita Juniors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
CA Estudiantes Caseros1.27
Chacarita Juniors0.73
1X2
CA Estudiantes Caseros
Draw
Chacarita Juniors
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Estudiantes Caseros
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Chacarita Juniors
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Estudiantes Caseros
2–3–1
Chacarita Juniors
(6 last)
- Chacarita Juniors0-3CA Estudiantes Caseros
- Chacarita Juniors0-3CA Estudiantes Caseros
- CA Estudiantes Caseros0-2Chacarita Juniors
- Chacarita Juniors1-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
- CA Estudiantes Caseros0-0Chacarita Juniors
- Chacarita Juniors1-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1514 · Chacarita Juniors 1469
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Draw | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | 48% | 32% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.99 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Estudiantes Caseros (rating 1514 vs 1469).
- H2H favours CA Estudiantes Caseros: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.2 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Estudiantes Caseros 2–3–1 Chacarita Juniors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 0-3 HT 0-2 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 03/08/25 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 0-3 HT 0-1 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 29/03/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 27/07/24 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 09/03/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 08/10/23 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferrocarril Midland | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 30 |
| 11 | Almagro | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 30 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 14 | San Martin SJ | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24 | 26 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 23 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 39 | 19 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/07 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 05/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Chacarita Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 21/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Chacarita Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Estudiantes Caseros win (48%). Probabilities: CA Estudiantes Caseros 48%, draw 32%, Chacarita Juniors 20%.
How many goals are expected in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Chacarita Juniors?
The model expects 1.99 goals (CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.27 · Chacarita Juniors 0.73), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Chacarita Juniors?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.